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Proceedings of the Second NASA Aviation Safety Program Weather Accident Prevention Review

NASA/CP-2003-210964 · NASA (NTRS) · 2003

Public domain · NASA (NTRS)Technical Reports

Overview

The Second NASA Aviation Safety Program (AvSP) Weather Accident Prevention (WxAP) Annual Project Review held June 5-7, 2001, in Cleveland, Ohio, presented the NASA technical plans and accomplishments to the aviation community. NASA-developed technologies presented included an Aviation Weather…

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NASA (NTRS)
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NASA/CP-2003-210964
Year
2003
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819

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NASA / CP--2003-210964

Proceedings of the Second NASA Aviation

Safety Program Weather Accident

Prevention Review

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Proceedings of the Second NASA Aviation

Safety Program Weather Accident

Prevention Review

Proceedings of a conference held at the Hilton South sponsored by NASA Gl.enn Research Cen.ter Independe_Ke, Ohio June 5-7, 2001 N ational Aeronautics and Spa ce Administration Glelm Research Center January 2003 Trade names or manufacturers' names are used in this report for identificatio_ only. This usage does not constitute a_ official endorsement, either expressed or implied, by the Natio_ml Aeronautics and Space Administration.

Available frorn NASA Center for Aerospace Information 71121 Standard Drive Hanover, MD 211076 Available electronically at http: //gltrs.grcnasa.gov TABLE OF CONTENTS Aviation Safety Program Weather Accident Prevention Annuai Prqject Review ................................................................... vi Review Objec._ives vii Attendees of Re;dew. ........................................................................................................................ ix Survey ................................................................................................................................................ x Mee.':ir_g [x)gJstics ............................................................................................................................. xi Agenda ............................................................................................................................................. xii Weather Accident Prevention (WxAP) Project Overview and Status Shari-Beth Nadeli, NASA Glenn Research Center .......................................................................... I Weather Accident Prevention (WxAP) Development of WxAP System Architecture and Concepts of Operation David Gran'_ier, NASA Glenn Research Center 18 Aviation Weather Information Overview and Status Pa_i Stough, NASA Langley Research Center 33 Weather Information Communications (WINCOMM) Overview and Status K. Mar_zakIis, N ASA Glerm Research CerJter _ • ................................................................................ , ± Turbulence Detection and Mitigation Element Weather InformatioN Network Overview NASA Langley WINN System Operational Assessment United' s SKY-PAD TM Project Joe Burns, Upited Airlines 1i 2 Enhanced Weather Radar and Aviation Weather Awareness and Reporting Programs ) ..... _ : "y4 Kevin Kronfeid, Ro,Mxe11 Co11_..L._ 134 Satellite Weather Information Service R.S. Haende], Rockwell _..o_lms .................................................................................................... 1, .6 Pilot Weather Advisor TM The Results of the Evaluation of Using Lightning Data to Improve Oceanic Convective Forecasting for Aviation Oceanic Weather Information: Oceanic Convective Nowcasting Demonstration (OCND) VHF Datalink (Mode 2) for Cockpit Weather for Air Transports {; ] _,_):l"11:h.li?1v atl,):lS ............................................ Z, ,, ,) Thomas E. ']7anger, _ockbeed Martin GlobaI" " .......... -,,, , _ , ,c_.."

Preliminary VDL Mode 2 Bench and Flight Test Results Trent A. Skidmore and Aaron A. Wilson, Ot-Jio Up..iversity Avionics Engineering _ .... __" NASA/CP--2002-210964 iii Decision-Making inFlight With Different Convective Weather Information Sources:

Preliminary Results from the Langley CoWS Experiment

Jim Chambe.rlain and Kara Latoreila, NASA Langiey Research Cemcr. 229

General Aviation Cockpit Weather Information System Simulation Studies

Ray McAdaragh, NASA AW1N Program; and Paul Novacek, Research Triar:@e

General Aviation FIS Broadcast System FIS Architecture Study Plan TAMDAR Development Strategy TAMDAR Capabilities Development TAMDAR Datalink Development Mor:..ty Andro and S._epher:.. C. Wiersma, NASA Glenn Research Center 364 OVERVIEW: Business Feasibility of the TAMDAR System Impact of Meteorological Data Collection and Reporting System (MDCRS)/Tropospheric Carl Weiss, National Weather Service 4i 3 Airborne Turbulence Warning System Development Rod Bogue, N AS A Dryden Fiight Research Center 429 Meteorological Case Studies of Turbulence Encounters Weather Associated With the Fall 2000 Turbulence Flight Tests David W Hamilton ar:..d Fred H. Proc_;r, NASA Langley Research Cemer 476 Numerical Simulation of Even 191-6 of NASA' s Flight Tests Unbalanced Supergradient Flow: Its Role in Organizing Severe Turbulence in Both Convective and Clear Air Case Studies Simulations of Continuous and Discrete Event Turbulence R. Sharman, National Center for Atmospheric Research 555 Development and Flight Test of In Situ Turbulence Algorithms Turbulence Lidar Development Status ivan Clark NASA Langley Research Cemer; ar:..d Philip Gatt and Flight Test Results for a Turbulence Detection Radar NASA/CP--2002-210964 iv

Market Assessment ofForward-Looking Turbulence Sensing Systems

Secure Cabin Exercise Rod Bogue, NASA Dryden Flight Research Center .................................................................... 70:l Feasibility Study of Transport-Aircraft Control Systems for Turbulence Effects Mitigation Turbulence JSIT Status NASA-FAA-NOAA Partnering Strategy Flight Information Services Data Link (FISDL) Airline Implementation of Cockpit Weather Systems FIS Implementation National Business Aviation Association (NBAA) Tenny I,indhoim, The Nai:ional Center tor Atmospheric Research Cockpit 1972 ......................................................................................................................................... 79'7 NASA/CP--2002-210964 v

Weather Accident Prevention

Annual Project Review

Cleveland, Ohio June 5-7, 2001

Review Objectives

• Communicate progress to NASA Stakeholders, Partners, and Customers • Solicit feedback on NASA's Weather Safety Plans and activities from the aviation community.

• Q&A session after presentations • Discussion sessions following each topical session • Panel Discussion during last morning session (June 7) • Survey of NASA WxAP plans/products • Catalyst for future partnerships and collaboration with aviation community • Enhanced integration of NASA Weather Accident Prevention Project Elements • Preparation for NASA FY02 detailed planning activities

Review Objectives

Attendees of Review

NASA A vSP Management Researchers

NASA Base Management Researchers

FAA

NWS

NTSB

Avionics Industry

Airlines

Aircraft Manufacturers

Pilot Associations

Aircraft Associations

Academia

DoD

Survey

• Evaluate NASA's weaknesses/strengths • Evaluate NASA products being developed • Technical Issues • Coordination Issues • Implementation Issues • Others • Identity disclosure is voluntary • Use postage-paid envelope • Summary of surveys will be forwarded to all attendees

Meeting Logistics

• Message Board available at registration table • Telephone Messages: 216-447-1300 • FAX: 216-642-9334 • Coffee and snacks available during breaks • Lunch available in the pool area Tuesday and Wednesday ($10 each) - Sign-up sheet at registration table • List of local restaurants is available at registration table • Presentations are on CD-ROM • Break-out room available for side meetings - Sign-up sheet at registration table

Day 1 Morning Agenda

8:00 a.m. Welcome Sehra, GRC Rohn, GRC 8:15 a.m.

Nadell, GRC Meeting Objectives and Logistics 8:30 a.m.

Weather Accident Prevention (WxAP) Project Nadell, GRC Overview and Status 9:00 a.m.

Grantier, GRC Development of WxAP System Architecture and Concept of Operation 9:30 a.m. Aviation Weather Infon'nation Overview and Stough, LaRC Status 10:15 a.m. Break 10:30 a.m. Weather Infon'nation Communications Overview Martzaklis, GRC and Status 11:15 a.m.

Turbulence Detection and Mitigation Overview Bogue, DFRC and Status Watson, LaRC 12-1 p.m. Lunch

Day 1 Afternoon Agenda

Cockpit Weather Information Systems 1:00 p.m. Weather Information Network Leger, Honeywell Jonsson, LaRC 1:15 p.m. NASA Langley WINN System Operational Assessment 1:30 p.m. United's SKY-PAD TM Project Bums, UAL 1:45 p.m. Enhanced Weather Radar and Aviation Weather Kronfeld, Awareness & Reporting Programs Rockwell Kerczewski, GRC 2:15 p.m. Satellite Weather Information Service 2:35 p.m. Pilot Weather Advisor TM Hoffler, Vigyan, Inc.

2:55 p.m. The Results of the Evaluation of Using Lightning Nierow, FAA Data to Improve Oceanic Convective Forecasting for Aviation 3:00 p.m. Oceanic Weather Information: Oceanic Convective Lindholm, NCAR Convective Nowcasting Demonstration (OCND)

Day 1 Afternoon Agenda (cont.)

Cockpit Weather Information Systems (cont.)

3:15 p.m. Break 3:30 p.m. VHF Datalink (Mode 2) for Cockpit Weather Tanger, LMGT for Air Transports 3:40 p.m. Preliminary VLD Mode 2 Bench and Flight Test Skidmore, OU Results 4:00 p.m. Decision-making In Flight With Different Latorella, LaRC Convective Weather Information Sources: Chamberlain, LaRC Preliminary Results 4:30 p.m. GA Cockpit Weather Infon'nation System McAdaragh, FAA Simulation Studies Novacek, RTI 5:00 p.m. Discussion: Cockpit Weather Systems 5:30 p.m. Conclude for the Day

Day 2 Morning Agenda

Cockpit Weather Information Systems (cont.)

8:00 a.m.

General Aviation FIS Broadcast System Joyce, Honeywell 8:20 a.m.

FIS Architecture Study Plan Tanger, LMGT Nichols, Johns Hopkins APL Airborne Weather Reporting System 8:45 a.m.

TAMDAR Development Strategy Schmidt, FAA 8:55 a.m.

Daniels, LaRC TAMDAR Capabilities Development 9:25 a.m.

TAMDAR Datalink Development Andro, GRC 9:45 a.m.

Kauffmann, ODU Overview of the Business Feasibility of the TAMDAR System 10:15 a.m. Break 10:30 a.m.

Impact of MDCRS/TAMDAR data on National Weiss, NWS Weather Service (NWS) Operations

Day 2 Morning Agenda (cont.)

10:50 a.m.

Discussion: Airborne Weather Reporting System Airborne Turbulence Warning System 11:25 a.m. Airborne Turbulence Warning System Development Bogue, DFRC 11:40 a.m. Meteorological Case Studies of Turbulence Fen'is, MIT Encounters Lincoln Labs.

Lunch Weather Associated With the Fall 2000 Turbulence Hamilton, LaRC Flight Tests Numerical Simulation of Event 191-6 of NASA's Proctor, LaRC 1:20 p.m.

Flight Tests 1:40 p.m. Unbalanced Supergradient Flow - It's Role In Kaplan, NCSU Organizing Severe Turbulence In Both Convective and Clear Air Case Studies Simulations of Continuous and Discrete Sharman, NCAR 2:00 p.m.

Turbulence Events

Day 2 Afternoon Agenda (cont.)

Airborne Turbulence Warning System (cont.)

2:20 p.m. Development and Flight Test of In Situ Turbulence Robinson, Algorithms AeroTech 2:45 p.m. Turbulence LIDAR Development Stares Clark, LaRC 3:00 p.m. Break 3:15 p.m. Flight Test Results for a Turbulence Detection Schaffner, LaRC Radar 4:00 p.m. Market Assessment of Forward-Looking Kauffmann, ODU Turbulence Sensing Systems 4:30 p.m. Turbulence Secure Cabin Exercise Bogue, DFRC 5:00 p.m. Discussion: Airborne Turbulence Warning System 5:30 p.m. Conclude for the Day

Day 3 Morning Agenda

Airborne Turbulence Warning System (cont.)

8:00 a.m. Feasibility Study of Transport-Aircraft Control Borland, Boeing Systems for Turbulence Effects Mitigation CAG 8:20 a.m. Turbulence JSAT/JSIT Status Bogue, DFRC Implementation, Operation, and Technology Development Colantonio, GRC 8:40 a.m. NASA-FAA-NOAA Partnering Strategy 9:00 a.m. Flight Information Services Data Link (FISDL) Moosakhanian, FAA 9:20 a.m.

Airline Implementation of Cockpit Weather Systems Sambrano, UAL 9:40 a.m. Break 10:00 a.m.

Panel Session: Cockpit Weather Infon-nation Systems: Current and Future Challenges for Implementation, Operation, and Technology Development 11:45 a.m.

Annual Review Wrap-up 12:00 noon Annual Review Concluded

Weather Accident Prevention (WxAP)

Project Overview and Status

Shari-Beth Nadell, Acting Project Manager

NASA Glenn Research Center (GRC)

Cleveland, OH

Outline

• Weather Accident Prevention Project

Background/History

• Project Modifications

• Project Accomplishments

• Project's Next Steps

Weather Safety Benefits Needed

> 41% during cruise "_ Weather-related Non-weather-related 27% due to visual flight (27%) (73%) operation in instrument flight conditions GA Aviation Accidents 1982-1993 (22,053 total accidents) Source: AOPA Air Safety Foundation Turbulence Injuries (33%) Non-weather-related Weather-related Non-Turbulence-related _a_ _'_d_,I t .f_,r _;@_:Hc,_' (67%) (33%) Injuries (67%) Commercial Carrier Commercial Transport Serious Accidents 1983-1995 Injuries 1990-1996 Source:NTSB Fatal/Non-fatal Accidents Source: NTSB Data

Project Evolution

FAA-NASA Weather ._. Aviation Safety National Aviation Safety Memorandum ....................................... Investment Weather Initiatives Of Agreement _!..!_! Strategy Team *Signed June, 2000* NASA-Other Agency FAA-NASA Memorandum White House Commission on Weather Safety Of Understanding Signed Safety and Security Sets Goal Memorandum Of On Aviation Safety of 80% reduction in fatal Agreements accidents within l O years (in progress) Commercial Aviation Safety Team National Aviation Weather and GA Joint Steering Committee activities initiated Program Strategic Plan- Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorology

NASA AvSP Organizational Structure

llll_ Proje_ r, I | Accident | Nenitorh_g & /

/ "°de'i_{_ / l °":°° !1 "'"°° /

| lrv Statler (ARC) (LaRC) !ARC)_ I Elements iiiiiiM_iga_ii#i#iii(TigAM)iiiiii iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii2ii_i2iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii2ii_i3iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiR#aiiiB#_ei_iiii

WxAP Project Goals/Objectives/Products

o Goal Provi de th e Fligh t D ec k w ithHi g h e r Detect&Mitigate Obj_c_iv_s Fideli_i More Timely Intuitive Weather Hazards G raphical Information 1. Cockpit weather display technologies and design guidelines and pilot decision support tools 2. Weather Information data link technologies, architecture, and design guidelines Pro_:_uc_s 3. Improved low-altitude Automet technologies and design guidelines 4. Turbulence hazard characterization 5. Forward-looking turbulence sensor technologies and system design guidelines 6. Turbulence mitigation procedure guidelines

Project Schedule and Milestones

National AWIN Capability National Datalink Capability Turbulence Flight Management System Demo Flight Demonstration Of Forward-Looking Turbulence Warning System ;_ 4'd)MPL E }'EJ," ;_ International AWIN Capability International Datalink Capability

Product Development Strategy

• Strong Industry cost sharing through Cooperative Research Agreements (CRA) • Airline/operator participation in CRAs • Cost/Market assessment studies funded • FAA/NASA/NWS Working Groups being established • Participation in Industry/Government working groups dealing with technology and standards development: RTCA, ICAO Joint Safety Assessment/Implementation Teams, etc.

• Strong National Turbulence Research Coalition assisting in defining NASA direction

Project Modifications

• Reasons for modifications >> Resource fimitations (funding, staff) >>Customer feedback and recommendations • Content of changes _> Research area focus modifications _ WBS modifications • Research area focus modifications _ Nowcasting/Forecasting technology development eliminated • Feedback from joint Turbulence PDT and FAA meeting • FAA responsible for developing nowcasting/forecasting products • NASA responsible for investigating turbulence characteristics and defining hazard metrics _ Turbulence Mitigation technology development refocused • Flight System Controls development descoped to investigation of autopilot usage in turbulence encounters • Integration of turbulence warning information on the flight deck added

Project Modifications (concl.)

• Research area focus modifications (concl.)

_> Specific technology development focus on commuter aircraft and rotorcraft eliminated • Addresses the spectrum of users and key accident areas _ Graphical weather presentation and usage research and technology development limited to cockpit systems • FAA responsible for developing ATC and AOS products and technologies _ Research focus on AutoMET sensor and datalink technology development increased • GA Wx JSIT Recommendation • National Aviation Wx Program Council feedback • FAA Wx requirements office input • WxAP Project Review feedback _ Research focus on Satellite Datalink Communications technology development increased

Modified WxAP Products

Weather Accident Prevention (WxAP) Shari-Beth Nadell, GRC Turbulence _ Aviation Weather _ fWeather Inf°rmati°n_ Detection & | Communications | Information _ | GusMartzaklis, Mitigation =

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Project Accomplishments

• Completed Project Milestone #1: Initial AWIN and Forward-Looking Turbulence Detection Flight Evaluation • Total of six flights between September and December 2000 (including two ferry flights to DFW) • Four WxAP experiments were conducted: • In-Situ Turbulence Algorithm • Turbulence Radar • AWlN-Weather Information Network (WlNN) System • Enhanced Weather Radar EWxR multifunction display with ship's weather radar data WINN Display Mounted in to 50 nmi and NEXRAD data beyond.

the B757 Cockpit Turbulence Radar Installation on B757

Project Accomplishments (cont.)

• Successful completion of the first test subject data collection flight of the AWlN Convective Weather Sources (COWS) experiment on August 9, 2000 • Experiment investigates how situation awareness and flight deck decision making is affected by access to different sources of weather information • Conditions investigated included: conventional audio information only, out-the-window visual cues plus conventional audio information, and a composite radar image (a tethered AWlN display) plus the conventional audio information Honeywell A WIN Display in King Air Cbclcait NASA BE-200 King Air

Project Accomplishments (cont.)

• TAMDAR Sensor tested in NASA GRC Icing Research Tunnel, March 21-23 > Preliminary results indicate the overall infrared sensing principle is sound and detected both glaze and rime ice > Probe de-icing method needs to be reworked with respect to heater size and placement and the software algorithm that tried to melt the ice or declare the sensor "contaminated" > Next-generation unit will have the temperature sensor better isolated thermally from the heater TAMDAR sensor development task initiated with GTRI and ODS; kickoff meeting April 25 ODS TAMDAR sensor (left), ODS Model 1000 TAMDAR Icing Sensor (right) in IRT sensor

Project Accomplishments (cont.)

• Continued to develop Broadband SATCOM Datalink > Enabling technologies: phased array antennas, broadband mobile terminal > Joint NASA/Boeing development > Up to 1000x capacity increase > Ground-mobile experiments > Proof flight test Dec, 2000 (DC-8) > Upcoming B-757 experiments > Enabling to new Connexion by Boeing datalink service NASA DC-8 Flight Test Ku-band Receive and Transmit Phased Array Antennas

Project Accomplishments (concl.)

• Test development planning for Turbulence Secure Cabin Exercise First implementation will use FAA CAMI B747 Cabin Evacuation simulator training facility Secure Cabin Exercise team includes NASA, FAA, airlines, cabin attendants associations, etc.

Three cabin scenarios will be used to develop requirements for "securing" a cabin prior to a turbulence encounter Will provide important input to the development of Airborne Turbulence Warning System requirements and procedural guidelines i!iiiii!_i_i_!_i_iiiii_iiiiiiiiiii!iiiiiiii_iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii_i_iiiiiiiiiiiii_i_ii FAA CAMI B 74 7 Cabin Evacuation Simulator

Project's Next Steps

• Develop systems architecture and concept of operations for WxAP technology products.

• Revisit and redefine project milestones based on accomplishments over first two years of the program.

• Update NASA plans per stakeholder comments (i.e. THIS REVIEW), requirement studies, joint team recommendation etc.

• Continue to integrate and leverage activities with FAA, NWS and DoD.

• Continue to seek greater participation with aviation user community.

Z

L

o o

Weather Accident Prevention (WxAP)

oo

Development of WxAP System Architecture

And Concepts of Operation

David Grantier, WxAP LII Systems Engineer

7800 Systems Engineering Division

NASA Glenn Research Center

Cleveland, OH

Outline

Z ;> ;> o o

• Background Information on System

Architecture/CONOPS Activity

• Activity Work In Progress

• Anticipated By-Products

Z o o bo

WxAP Project Evolution FY'01

• Prior Systems Engineering Activities

• AvSP LI Product Notebooks • Bob Sutton, Pat Corcoran ARI, AvSP LI Systems Engineers bo O

• Project philosophy/structure towards Product

B ased Development

• Acceptance to modify Level II, III Milestones • Define, identify NASA WxAP Products

• Focus on WxAP technologies, not an optimized

NASA WxAP System

• AWIN, WINCOMM, TDAM • 2/7-8/01 GRC LII/LIII TIM

Task Origin

Z > > o o

• 3/27/01 WxAP LIII Integration Meeting at LaRC

b_ • Scope: • To create a NASA WxAP System Architecture and associated Concept of Operations Document.

b_ • Demonstrate a system implementation that includes AWIN, WINCOMM, and TDAM technologies for Commercial Transport and GA (where applicable).

• Systems may not fully utilize the full scope of capabilities that are available from any one of the WxAP LIII elements.

• System will be the WxAP Level II and Level III's vision of potential applications of these technologies.

Task Origin (cont.)

Z > > • Justification: o o bo • To date, WxAP Level III development has been largely a bottoms-up effort with limited systems guidance from WxAP Level II due in large part to the maturity level of the LIII technologies.

• The Level III Elements are moving into a more critical period bO bO of technology development and demonstration and the need for a WxAP System Architecture is evident.

• The products of this activity will allow the WxAP Level III elements to refine their development activities and to accommodate WxAP system level requirements in their technologies.

• Anticipated by-products of this activity include WxAP '02 (and '04) Flight Requirements.

Modified WxAP Products

Z > > Weather Accident Prevention o (WxAP) o bo Shari-Beth Nadell, GRC Turbulence I Avlali°r nj_Weather _ Wcathemrlniir_iati°n Detection & Mitigation ¢J ==

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Z

Architecture Task Goal"

o o

Map WxAP Products on System Architecture

WxAP Proposed Products: • Cockpit Weather Display Technologies and Pilot Decision Support Tools • Airborne Weather Reporting Sensor Technologies 4_ •Weather Information Datalink Systems Technologies for Ground-to-Air Dissemination •Weather Information Datalink Technologies for Air-to-Ground and Air-to-Air Dissemination • Turbulence Characterization Technologies • Forward-looking Turbulence Sensor Technologies • Turbulence Mitigation Procedures Z

5/10-11/01 WxAP LII/LIII SE Meeting at LaRC

o o Attendees: Dave Grantier/GRC WxAP LII SE WxAP LII SE Dwayne Kiefer/GRC/QSS John Bowen/GRC/ZIN WxAP LII SE Ed Johnson/LaRC AWIN LIII SE WINCOMM SE Tom Tanger/GRC/CMST Dale Force/GRC WINCOMM SE Jim Watson/LaRC TDAM SE (acting) Pat Corcoran/ARI AvSP LI SE Meeting Summary: The objective of this meeting was to familiarize each of the WxAP, AWIN, WINCOMM and TDAM personnel with each other, and to uncover the basic composition of each element. The meeting consisted of the WxAP LII System Engineers presenting their understanding gleaned from the available Level III documentation. The presentations were then supplemented and where necessary, corrected by the Level III System Engineers. The overall result of the meeting laid the informational and personal groundwork for future collaborations within the groups, and a starting point for the genesis of a NASA WxAP System Architecture.

Z o o

NASA WxAP CONOPS Issues Currently Identified

(5/11-12/01 WxAP SE TIM at LaRC) • NASA WxAP Implementation Time Phasing ¢" Past, Present, 2007, beyond 2007 • NASA WxAP Flight Phase ¢" Preflight, Take-off, Enroute, Landing, Postflight • Aircraft Classifications ¢" GA, Transport, Other?

• Communications Protocols ¢" VDL-2,3, UAT, Mode S, SatCom • Aircraft Hardware ¢" Radio, Processors, Sensors, Cockpit Displays • Aircraft Services ¢" Other AvSP technologies, other Wx information on plane • Ground Communications Network ¢" IP-6, ATN Z > >

Examples of WxAP System Architecture sketches from

o o

WxAP SE working group meeting (5/11-12/01 LaRC)

b,3 AWIN data ctr ;z:-_clc; ;;;c c1-,lcts AWIN J Contrib to types /"11 ProdsF .... t of Weat IP_ I ! Data prods I Air center ops??

H "------" O.

• Airline ops center

Example WxAP Architecture Sketch

Z o o Aircraft 2 bo Weather Processor / CMU Products Cockpit bo Ground Network

./" j (i.e. ATN, IP6)

Cockpit Processor / CMU r s"!i!..... Aircraft 1

Example WxAP Architecture Sketch

Z

Revised Architecture

o o [optional direct to AWIN] Z > >

Example of WxAP initial System Architecture from

o FY'01 B-757 ARIES Flight Test Requirements Document

o

(S. Rickard/LaRC)

Inte.qrated WxAP Experiments Hiqh-kevel System Architecture Pilot [ AHAS #[ Ship's Wx d WXDisplayRadar _ Radar R/T (In Cj_kpit) / Research 18" Disolay !ni"f'acc / DiSsilay _' In-situ AHAS Research Data Radar Processor _ "_ Processor, Lidar Data Data _:_e_ r_ g,,_ Displays Ethernet H'-b VHF SATCO ] / Weather Products _ Uplinked _ ' Z ;> ;>

NASA WxAP Elementary CONOPS

o o bo The "Building Blocks" of a WxAP CONOPS: ¢" Data is Transferred to Aircraft ¢" Data is Received by the Aircraft ¢" Data is Displayed to the Pilot ¢" Data is Collected on the Aircraft ¢- Data is Transmitted from the Aircraft _ % ¢" Data is Received on the Ground f "__ Z o o

Anticipated By-Products of Architecture/CONOPS Activity

• WxAP LI! Requirements Document • Formulation of WxAP FY'02 and '04 Flight Requirements • More efficient evaluation of potential WxAP integration with other AvSP LII projects • More efficient participation in AvSP LI Systems Engineering activities • WxAP LII and LIII Project Management tool

Aviation Weather information

Overview and Status

Weather Accident Prevention Project Review

Cleveland, Ohio June 5 to 7, 2001 Paul Stough CrewNehicle Integration Branch NASA Langley Research Center Hampton, VA 23681-2199 (757) 864-3860 E-mail: h.p.stough@larc.nasa.gov

.d_l_i, Outline

• Background

• Research Areas

• Progress since last year

• Weather is a major contributing factor in

accidents:

-33% Commercial carrier

-27% General aviation

• Many accidents are due to lack of weather

situation awareness and poor decisions.

• Provision of strategic weather information

during the en route phase enables

avoidance of adverse conditions.

Guidance

• NASA Aviation Safety Program

-Aviation Safety Investment Strategy Team - Executive Council

• National Aviation Weather Program Council

-National Aviation Weather Program Strategic Plan -National Aviation Weather Initiatives

• FAA Safer Skies: Focused Safety Agenda

-Weather Joint Safety Analysis Teams -Weather Joint Safety Implementation Teams

• FAA Aviation Weather Research Program

• Friends of Aviation Weather

° WxAP Project Review

Plan

Develop technologies and methods for providing pilots with accurate, timely and intuitive information during the en route phases Goam of flight which, if implemented, will enable a 25 to 50% reduction in aircraft accidents attributable to weather situation awareness Develop Needed iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiDievei_ii_ipiiiiiEinihiainiciediiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii Objectives Weather Products and i;i;i;i;i;i;i;iWeatheriPresentationsiiiiiiiiiiiiiii Sensing Capabilities Pilot Workload ImprovedForecasts Existing Aircraft Need B effer Need Retrofit Should Not Be Challenges Increased Input Data Capability

Use Aircraft as Develop Develop II Provide

Approach Airborne Weather I I Multi-Purpose I I Installed and I I Decision Data Collectors Sensor Systems Portable Systems Aids

.d_l_i System Elements

weather

PrOduCtS

PreSentation

A_I_I AWIN System

.d_lhYi Market Segments

_i Technology Development Level

Operation of Certified System System Implementation Certification Approved Certification Standard Established System/Su bsystem Draft Cert. Standard Developed Evaluation RTCA/SAE or Equivalent Convened Application for Certification Technology Development Commercial Product Dev. Initiated & Demonstration Industry R&D Funding Committed Technology Transfer Initiated Research to Prove Feasibility Basic Technology Research

_iAviati°n Safety Program Organization

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2.4.2 | 2.4.3 Gus Martzaklis (GRC) _ Rod Bogue (DFRC) Level 3- Elements

1 1

NASA Research Team

• Dr. Jennifer Burt (757) 864-8304 • Dr. Jon Jonsson (757) 864-2001 Human Factors/Presentation Human Factors/Presentation • Mr. Jim Chamberlain (757) 864-2147 • Dr. Kara Latorella (757) 864-2030 Flight Experiments Human Factors/Decision Aiding • Mr. Taumi Daniels (757) 864-4659 • Dr. Ray McAdaragh (757) 864-1941 Human Factors/Presentation Airborne Weather Sensing • Mr. Walt Green (757) 864-3355 • Mr. John Murray (757) 864-5883 Systems Engineering Meteorology • Dr. Ed Johnson (757) 864-7602 • Dr. Robert Neece (757) 864-1827 Enhanced Weather Radar Systems Engineering • Mr. Ken Jones (757) 864-5013 • Mr. Phil Schaffner (757) 864-1809 Airborne Hazard Processor Flight Experiments Mr. Paul Stough (757) 864-3860 Project Management

.d_l_i NASA Facilities

NASA C-206 General Aviation Work Station NASA BE-200 Transport Research Flight Deck NASA B-757

.d_i, Partnerships

Flight Standards Certification Weather Policy Weather Products Flight Information Services Aviation Weather Center Forecast Systems Lab N_we_I co=wins Cooperative Research Agreements Research Triangle Institute_ iiiiiiiiiiii_i_ii'!iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii Academia

A_lhYi Timeline

National AWlN Capability International Flight Evaluation of Initial AWlN Concept AWlN Capability Integrated with Turbulence Detection

.d_lhYi AWIN Research Areas

• Enhanced Weather Radar • Airborne Weather Reporting • Airborne Hazard Awareness System • Display Guidelines • Decision Aids • Automatic Speech Recognition • Cooperative Research Agreements

Cooperative Research with FAA

• Human factors researcher assigned to the AWIN Team • Joint funding of research • Data-link Weather Information Systems Enhancements -Investigate effects of data-linked in-flight weather displays on pilot decision making and flight operations Investigate the benefits and limitations of using cockpit presentations of time-delayed data-linked weather information with real-time airborne weather radar for Part 121 operations Investigate feasibility of using cockpit access to data-linked weather information in place of in-situ destination weather reporting for Part 135 operations Define the cost considerations and incentives for aircraft owners to equip their aircraft and provide airborne weather reporting as part of a national implementation

Cooperative Research

• Worldwide Transport Weather Information Systems

- Honeywell Weather Information Network (WlNN)

• Nationwide General Aviation Weather Information Systems

- ARNAV - Honeywell

• Elements of Weather Information Systems

- Honeywell Weather Avoidance Using Route Optimization as a Decision Aid - Rockwell Aviation Weather Awareness and Reporting Enhancements (AWARE) - Rockwell Enhanced On-Board Weather Radar (EWxR) - Rockwell Airborne Hazard Awareness System (AHAS) - NCAR Oceanic Convective Nowcasting Demonstration (OCND) - NRL Ceiling and Visibility Forecasting Improvements

Al___oneywell weather information Network

Technology Development

Honeywell Citation Jet Honeywell simulator UAL B-777 simulator NASA B-757 Avionitek display in NASA B-757

In-Service Evaluation

United Airlines Spring 2001 Electronic Flight Bag in UAL Airbus

Turbulence Detection &

Mitigation Element

Weather Acci.dent Prevention

Second Annual Review

June 5-7, 2001

Rod Bogue

NASA Dryden Flight Research Center

Briefing Outline

Organization

Scope of Turbulence Effort

Background

Turbulence Detection & Mitigation Program Metrics

Approach

Turbulence Team Relationships

WBS Structure

Deliverables

TDAM Changes

FY-01 Results/Accomplishments

Out-year Plans

Element Status

Aviation Safety Program Organization

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rAviation System" System-Wide I Single Airer_f_ "_ iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiWieatheiriiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii Accident "_ _" Synthetic "_ Monitoring & Accident | Accident | iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiAeeidentiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii

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Prevention | 2.1 2,2 Prev2e;ti°n / iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiPreVentioniiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii Yuri Gawdiak 'ARC Level 2= Projects

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Airc,,"a fk I ci..'_ g Information Communication (AWIN) (WINCOMM) 2.4.1 2.4.2

i--°nWea" 1 I Wea'er'n'

Paul Stough (LaRC) Gus Martzaklis (GRC) Level 3- Elements

Scope of Turbulence Effort

• Turbulence from Natural

Atmospheric Processes

• Parts 121, and 91 (Scheduled

Carriers, Commuters & GA)

• Tactical (Enroute)

• Both Avoidance & Encounter

Mitigation*_

• Flight Deck Integration*J]"

Note:*l; = Reduced effort, *_" = Starting effort.

Background

• Turbulence Costs

• Primary Cause of In-Flight Injuries (9 encounters/24

injuries per month)

• Cost estimated at >$100M/yr. for airlines

• Turbulence Initiators

• Convective Storms (within and as far as 40 miles away

from visible clouds in clear air)

• Jet Stream (at confluence of multiple streams and near

boundaries)

• Mountain Wave (upward propagating from

disturbances near the surface)

Turbulence Detection & Mitigation

Program Metrics

WxAP Ob,[ective # 3: Provide commercial aircraft sensor

with 90% probability of detection of severe Convective

and Clear Air Turbulence thirty seconds to two minutes

before encounter.

WxAP Milestone #2: Flight demonstrate certifiable

forward-looking on-board turbulence warning system with

Type-I and Type-II error probability commensurate with

airborne wind shear technology (TRL/IRL of 7/4)

Approach

Build a Turbulence Team from Industry, Academia, and

Government to address requirements, approaches, and

solutions

• Utilize the Commercial Aircraft Safety Team (CAST) to

determine requirements for Air Carriers

(http://www.cygnacom.com/turbulence/)

• Address Air Carrier Issues with Technology Approaches

with assistance from FAA Rule-Making, and Improved

Procedures

• Address GA Issues with improved Weather Products

Disseminated through Aviation Weather INformation

Turbulence Team Relationships

WBS Structure

• Requirements Definition (CAST) • Turbulent Fit. Control Alqorithm •Severe Events Database • Fliqht Deck Display Inteqration •Hazard Metric Development • Assess Mitiqation Options

Major Deliverables/Products

• Turbulence Characterization

• Validation of In-situ Algorithm

• Turbulence Hazard Metric

• Detector Technology

• Radar (software)

• Lidar (hardware/software)

• Encounter Mitigation Technology

• Assessment of Conventional Aircraft Control Authority

• Flight Deck Integration

• Display Integration

Element Changes

Program Changes

- Elimination of Forecasting/Nowcasting WBS - De-scope of Mitigation - Initiation of Flight Deck Integration

Staffing Changes

- Level III Deputy • Bruce Kendall - interim • Jim Watson - Level IV • Neil O'connor - Turbulence Characterization Lead • Robert Neece - Detection & Mitigation Lead • Phil Schaffner - Radar Principal Investigator • Ivan Clark & Phil Gatt - Lidar Co-principal Investigators

Element Accomplishments

• Turbulence Characterization & Sensor Development

- Research Radar Flight Experiments • 3 Flights (15 hours) • Predicted atmosphere along flight path • Verified turbulence in-sire algorithms • Established relationship between nns aircraft g-load and radar observables - CDR for B-757Lidar Installation

• Radar Flight Sensor Certification/Flight Deck Integration

- Participated in NASA-FAA-Industry Workshops (3) for Forward Looking Turbulence Sensor Certification* - Selected and modeled 4 turbulence encounters for candidate sensor verification & certification Note: * indicates item will not be covered later in detail

Element Accomplishments (cont.)

Turbulence Mitigation - Flight Control Report (Boeing) - Phase 2 SBIR for Feedforward Active Encounter Mitigation (CTI)* Guidance Activities - Commercial Aviation Safety Team • Completed Turbulence Joint Safety Assessment Process - (30 Interventions- Technology Development, Procedures, Training) • Chartered Turbulence Joint Safety Implementation Process - Prioritized Interventions - Selected for Implementation - Developed Projects - Identified Outputs - Secure Cabin Exercise • Established Team - FAA (CAMI), Airlines (5), Flight Attendant Organizations(2), ARI Consultant • Exercise Planning in Progress

Element Plans

Turbulence Characterization & Sensor

Development

- Research Radar Flight Experiments with real-time

Radar Algorithm in operation (Early FY-02 and Late

FY-02)

- Research Lidar Flight Experiments

(Summer FY-01 on DC-8,

Later FY- 02 on B757)

Radar Flight Sensor Certification

- Support NASA-FAA Certification Team effort with

flight tests and algorithm validation activities

- Continue analysis of turbulence encounters for sensor

verification & certification

Element Plans (cont.)

Turbulence Mitigation

- Flight Control Assessment (Boeing)

- Support Phase 2 SBIR for Feed-

forward Active Encounter Mitigation

Commercial Aviation Safety Team

- Complete Turbulence Joint Safety Implementation Process

• Refine Projects and Outputs • Transition Projects to CAST Management

Secure Cabin Exercise

- Conduct wide-body exercise at CAMI in September 01

- Develop Plans and conduct narrow-body exercise in FY-02

Summary - Status of Elements

• Turbulence Characterization

• Accident analysis developing robust cases for certification

• Developing turbulence weather analysis models

• Detection

• Radar flight tests in December provided promising results for

detecting turbulence in the vicinity of convective activity

• Lidar flight tests in FY-01 expected to confirm/validate

performance at cruise altitude

• Encounter Mitigation

• Promising assessment of mitigation control options

• Flight Deck Integration

• Planning for display integration with NASA-FAA

Certification Team

Out-o f- Scope "Turbul ence"

Out-of-Scope "Turbulence" (cont.)

Weathe_nf_hoN Network

NASA

Aviation Safety Program

.__ June 5, 2001 __

WINN Overview June 2001

• _i!i _iiii_iiiiii_!i!_ _

• Turbulence Detection and Forecast We.the_nf_hoNNetwork • Weather Radar (US only) ._ _ • Satellite • Convective Detection and Forecast • Icing Detection and Forecast • METARs (icon and text) • TAFs (text) • SIGMETs • High level Sig Wx Prog • Surface Analysis ,__ • Winds Aloft WINN Overview June 2001 CommunicatiOnS Weathe_nf_hoN Network • Multiple weather providers push information to the Honeywell Data Center (HDC) • The HDC receives, decompresses, reformats and recompresses the information • Once reprocessed the HDC stores the information in a ready directory until called on for delivery WINN Overview June 2001 • • ., ::i_ii_ii::_:. __ ...

user establishes a link with the HDC ,!o _._ ._ • Once established, the user requests an update of Standard telephony over VHF/UHForSATCOM information, based on position • The HDC replies by sending all information requested, through matching the user's .............

request with the current vHF_uHF Telephony master directory of all g ............ R .........

information • This process is repeated on a periodic basis WINN Overview June 2001 Weathe_nf_hoN Network Cockpit Cabin Terminal Terminal I ARINC 646 I iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii_i_iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii CMU (Server/router) EXISTING EQUIPMENT _---_ NEW EQUIPMENT " "...... ] OPTIONAL EQUIPMENT _®_ WINN Overview June 2001 Weulhei l_towmutiO_ ttetwovk Required ,o .,-.__{ Optional for Optional short • Once information is received it resides on the PC until requested • The unitwill require • Position power for durations • Altitude greater than the Navigation I • Heading battery life • GMT • Groundspeed • The unit may use navigational (GPS) information to

Required facilitate moving map

4 _ _ display WINN Overview June 2001

• LRU

Avionitek IClS Northstar CT-1000 Honeywell flat panel

• Portable Electronic

Device

Fujitsu3400 - HP OMNI 4150 - Toshiba Tecra - Qube - Fujitsu 2300 - Northcoast WlNN Overview June 2001 • . .

• Completed evaluation flights on UAL A 320 Weathe_nf_t,oNNetwork

and Delta B-777

- "CHANGED ALT. TO TEST THE CAT FUNCTION.

APPEARED TO WORK WELL."

- "IMPLIMENTA S A P !!!!!!!!!"

- "NEED TO BE ABLE TO INSERT WPT'S INTO MIDDLE OF FLT PLAN ROUTINE."

• Additional, multiple evaluations now under

contract and planned for the summer of 2001

• Officially a commercial offering

• Technical thrust

- Further cost and function improvements - Overall robustness improvements WINN Overview June 2001

iiii iiiii i !i!

• Current and projected growth in the air carrier Weather informat,oHNe_ork

and air cargo industry is 5.6% for the next 20 years

n II __":'1to _ !i - Currently 11,000 jet aircraft worldwide - Projected 33,000 jet aircraft by 2019 (IATA, 1999/Boeing 2000)

• ATA projects a 250% increase in delays by 2007, caused by

a 43% passenger increase and 2500 addh A/C. (ATA, 1999)

• FAA projects that, in 2007, more than 800 million

passengers will fly in the United States -three times the

number who flew in 1980. (Gore, 1997)

operations will be critically constrained by the year 2005 if

_ocus group, 1999)

WINN Overview June 2001

Aviation Safety Program

AWIN B-757 Flight Test

NASA Langley WINN System Operational Assessment

Jon Jonsson, Ph.D.

NASA Langley Research Center

Aviation Safety Program

AWIN B-757 Flight Test

OBJECTIVES

Determine if near real-time weather information presented

on the flight deck improves pilot situational awareness of

weather.

system during test flights.

Aviation Safety Program

AWIN B-757 Flight Test

APPROACH

O

NASA pilots used for test subjects (4).

I_ Flights conducted on typical airline routes.

Test flights scheduled on days of expected

convection along the flight path.

I_ Video and audio recording of pilot use of WINN.

I_ Situational awareness data (verbal & scaled).

0 Post test questionnaire.

Aviation Safety Program

AWIN B-757 Flight Test Flight Deck Research Conventional B-757 Station (FDRS)

Aviation Safety Program

AWIN B-757 Flight Test

NASA B-757

Near-Time Cockpit Weather Display on

Aviation Safety Program

AWIN B-757 Flight Test

@

Selected Post-Test Questionnaire Results

Overall WINN interface intuitive to pilots.

Bezel buttons preferable to touch screen

to access weather products.

Weather forecast products useful in decision making, WINN anticipated to save time and fuel, History feature useful for strateg£ planning,

}

J

Histo_%7 f%ature not usefut f%w£:a_st/planning,

Aviation Safety Program

AWIN B-757 Flight Test

@

Selected Post-Test Questionnaire Results

A SR_wks c@rrec_e_ @rl WZNIN-Lite Displ_,

Aviation Safety Program

AWIN B-757 Flight Test

Half Dozen to the Other"

"Six to One;

Areas Requiring Further Research

Position of display_

_# Ease of determining displayed weather product age_

_4 Identification of a precision controller_

_# Ideal time for automated weather updates_

Aviation Safety Program

AWIN B-757 Flight Test

Tactical versus Strategic Wx Replanning

Generally I think, this [system] can obviously provide some

very good strategic weather planning information. I still think

that for tactical [flying]--deviating around individual cells--or

looking out to about 100 miles, I would probably still prefer

[using] my aircraft weather radar. But looking down the road,

an hour or two down the road, this system could be very

helpful.

How best to implement new products (NE×RAD, CAT)

with existing systems?

Aviation Safety Program

AWIN B-757 Flight Test

Color schemes with multiple weather products being

shown on the display.

Cloud top information crucial for decision making.

NEXRAD: Is the db Reflectivity occurring at my cruise

level or 10,000 feet below me?

Age of data.

• Update Rate?

• How to Display?

Aviation Safety Program

AWIN B-757 Flight Test

= Questions and Comments

Z o o b_ b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ :Z > 0'3 > Air Traffic Controllers Reservations Crew Desks Marketing Dispatch Security o o bo Pilot o...

SAMC AMOSS Services oo Cabin AccessTet_inals ._ Located in cabi:n, Access Terminal in cockpit Medical E me_ger_es Safety Flight Training Center Maintenance Onboard Services Passenger Services and Communications Z o o b_ Z o o b_ v_ o Z o o b_ v_ Z o o b_ v_ b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ v_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ v_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ v_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ b_

Enhanced Weather Radar and

Aviation Weather Awareness &

Reporting Programs

Kevin Kronfeld

EWxR Program Manager

Rockwell Collins

Advanced Technology Center

Motivation

• Weather is the cause or contributing factor to

nearly 25% of aviation accidents and 35% of

fatalities.

- Improved weather information for pilots may break the

chain of events that lead to an accident.

• Weather is the number one source of flight delays

in the United States.

- Improved weather information may provide pilots with

a more efficient means of navigating around hazardous

weather.

Background

• In 1998, NASA initiated the Aviation Weather Information

(AWIN) program.

- Enhance the safety and efficiency of aircraft operations by improving the availability and quality of weather information to the flight crews.

• September 1998, NASA, Rockwell Collins, and Rockwell

Science Center started two cooperative research

agreements, termed Enhanced Weather Radar (EWxR), Aviation Weather Awareness and Reporting (AWARE).

• January 2001, NASA, Rockwell Collins, and Rockwell

Science Center began development of the Airborne Hazard

Avoidance System (AHAS).

EWxR

• 1999 Accomplishments: - Track storms.

- Determination of storm dynamics, such as speed and heading.

• 2000 Accomplishments: - Integrate NEXRAD image data into ARINC 453 video data format and display it on a standard radar indicator, multi-function display (MFD), or xVGA monitor.

- 9/24/00 - Successful flight test on NASA's 757.

• 2001 Accomplishment

- Flight plan analysis

EWxR Processing

429 Control Bus I/O Data Stream Data Stream Uplinked Weather Augmented Weather Information

EWxR Display

AWARE

• 1999 Text -> Graphics interpretation and decision analysis.

- METARs and SIGMETs.

• 2000 Experimental NCAR products integration.

- Icing, turbulence, convective weather products.

• 2001 IFR Summary Display Implementation.

- Implement IFR Summary Display.

- Incorporate Area Forecast data into Hazard Analysis model.

• 2001 PIREP Integration.

- PIREP integration.

- Hazard Analysis for IFR pilots.

• 2001 Demonstration onNASA 757.

C@_l{_

AWARE Processing

_i_i_i_i_si_i_deii_i_i_i_i_i_i_i_i_i_i_i_i_iiiiiiiiii_ii_iiii_iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii .............................................. iiiiiiiiii_i_i_i_iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii !!!!!!!!!!!!!

!!!!!!!!!!!!!

_atamodel_ iiiiiiiiiiiii

Sufficient statistics analysis & Info_rlation filtering for planning Image/signal processing _iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii_&_::: Flight planning assistance & ............................. _:_:_!iiiiiiiiiii_i_ Decision-support analysis

AWARE Display

KMIA 180108Z 19004KT 108M -TSI:RA BKN042 OVC09O 28,,"22 h,.2997 IRMK AO2 POO00 (SPECI) KMIA 180109Z 19003KT 10SM -P,A BKN042 BKN070 OVO090 23,,"22 A2997 IRMK AO2 TSE09 P0000 (SPECI) KMIA 180166Z 00000KT 10SM FEW018 BKN026 BKN070 OVO150 23,,'22 A2997 RMK AO2 TSE091RAEO3 8LP150 P0005 T0288022 KMIA 180202Z 00000KT 10SM FEW026 90T070 BKN150 23,,'22 A2998 EMK AO2= CSPEOI/

AHAS

Develop flexible COTS-based platform with

aircraft interfaces necessary for operational

evaluation of:

- AWIN systems

• EWxR display formats, storm analysis, flight plan analysis logic • AWARE weather analysis and decision aids

- Integrate new datalinked weather products from the

AWC.

- Integrate new atmospheric hazard sensors, such as the

TDAM experiment.

Further Studies

• What ranges are useful for display of NEXRAD on a

weather radar indicator?

• What will be the effect of simultaneously displaying radar

data taken from different angles and altitudes?

• How well does the data from from various weather data

sources correlate?

• What NEXRAD update rate is necessary and how much

latency is acceptable?

• Which weather product(s) will be most useful?

Further Evaluations

• Continue experiments of EWxR, AWARE,

and AHAS systems on NASA's 757

through Fall 2001.

• Fall 2001 - Participate in FAA's study of

utility of ground-based weather information

in the cockpit.

Satellite Weather

Information Service

June 5, 2001 Update

R. SoHaendei

@@_¢kwe|il

C@llins

Agenda

m Overview W Program Phases m Phase 1 Description m Phase 2 Aircraft Configuration m Satellite World Wide Coverage m Team Members W Phase 2 Status m Weather Graphics m Air Coverage m Data Routing and timing W Weather Benefits @@_ck_e|il

C@llins

Overview

In-service evaluation of real time graphical weather information on

flight deck

Provide updated graphical weather to pilots while enroute for

strategic flight decisions

m Trials to verify commercial benefits and technology feasibility

End solution is to provide wide area coverage for all classes of

aircraft

@@ck_e|l

C@|Mins

Program Phases

Phase 1, Installed on single engine aircraft

Phase 2, Installed on two revenue service Air Transport

Aircraft

- Transoceanic routes

m Phase 3 Plan, Install on 6-15 aircraft, all types

Transcontinental routes

CONUS operations

@@ck_e|l

C@|Mins

Program Phases

Phase 1. Verified that geostationary satellite can provide a

sufficient signal level to aircraft using a fixed pattern antenna.

• Trials in South Africa in September, 1999 • Cessna 182 aircraft, Afristar satellite

Phase 2. Validate the usefulness and pilots preferences of real time

weather data • Routes to the Pacific rim with American Airlines B777-200.

• Trials beginning June 2001, using Asiastar satellite Phase 3. Planned extended trials to include Air Transport, Business, and General Aviation in USA and South America • XM radio or other satellite (USA), Early 2002.

• Ameristar satellite (S. America), July 2002 @@_ck_e|il

C@llins

Phase 1 System

WorldSpace Afristar Satellite (21° East) TDM TDM X-Band WorldSpace Johannesburg (ROC) _i_Ban_ Patch Antenna Regional Operations Center Flight Test Aircraft Cessna C172 Uplink Equipment Transmission Feeder Link Station (TFLS) Transmission PC

@@¢kwe|l

C@llins

Phase 2 System Configuration

WorldSpace Patch Antenna _ WLAN '_ _ °'_ Pilot's Laptops Satellite Receiver sewer

• Laptops /

• File Sewer Melbourne, Au • Satellite Receiver GES Uplink • Low Cost Antenna • Wireless LAN

@@¢kwe|l

C@llins

Geographical Coverage

WorldSpace satellites located at:

J Africa serves entire Africa and some Europe

I Asia, serves all of Pacific rim from Korea through

Malaysia China and Eastern Russia, India, etc.

I Central America (2002), serves S. American and

Caribbean

@@_ck_e|il

C@llins

WorldSpace Coverage

Areas

(NOTE: AmeriStar footprint shown pending frequency coordination outcome)

@@_ck_e|il

C@llins

Phase 2 Team Members

! Rockwell Collins

| Data Storage, Displays, Receivers, Antennas, Integration, STC,

Data Reduction and Analysis

! WorldSpace Corporation

m Satellite channel, Receiver card, Ground Station Feed

! Jeppesen

! Weather Products & Laptop Software

! American Airlines

| STC Installation Support, Flight Test and Evaluation

@@_ck_e|il

C@llins

Phase 2 Status

m

Systems installed on two American Airlines B777-200. STC

approved by FAA. Aircraft now in revenue service.

M System includes: ! Patch antenna, J Satellite receiver, ! File Server Unit (FSU), J Avionics Secure Interface Unit,

J Wireless LAN network and

J Pilot laptop computer(s)

! Approved Software

m Test Coverage uses Asiastar NE Beam.

@@ck_e|l

C@|Mins

Weather G ra phics

• Winds and Temperatures aloft

° Flight Levels 050 through 450

• Surface Weather (Ceiling, Winds and Visibility)

• Hi-level Significant Weather

• Visible and Infra Red satellite imagery

• Surface analysis

• Update rate varies from once per hour to once per 6 hours

• Specific to type of graphic

• All weather graphics have track file and aircraft position overlays, zoom capability.

• Detailed geographic features and airport diagrams can be inserted

by pilots as needed.

• File server provides "time lapse" weather movement graphics as

called for by pilots

@@ck_e|l

C@|Mins

Satellite Infrared Imagery

@@_ck_e|il

C@llins

N. Pacific High level Significant WX

@@_ck_e|il

C@llins

Win(is; & Temps Aloft at 39,000 ft

@@_ck_e|il

C@llins

Surface Analysis

@@_ck_e|il

C@llins

Air Coverage and Pilot Updates

• Two B777-200 aircraft operate as needed for all long haul

routes for American Airlines.

• These aircraft are not restricted only to Trans-Pacific

routes.

• City pairs presently covered include: • Chicago, Dallas, San Jose CA to/from: • Narita, Osaka and Taipei.

• System provides coverage using NE Asiastar Beam (see map)

• Coverage enroute up to 5 hours.

• Pilots get same material on the ground via AA's company

Intranet at both ends of the routes.

• Analysis data obtained from Questionnaires and FDRs.

@@ck_e|l

C@|Mins

Data Routing

• Jeppesen generates weather graphics at scheduled intervals at Los Gatos, CA.

• Graphics are encoded and sent to WorldSpace GES in Melbourne, Australia and American Airlines in Dallas via Internet FTP.

• Melbourne GES uplinks each file to satellite 3 times at short intervals.

• Satellite transmits data at 64 Kbits/second.

• Satellite receiver recovers files, checks data validity and transfers valid data to File Server Unit (FSU) for storage.

• FSU manages data files and makes files available to pilot via WLAN on aircraft. FSU maintains aircraft position and time. Provides information to laptop to allow aircraft to be plotted on graphics.

• Time delay from Jeppesen to Aircraft is less than 60 seconds.

• Satellite typical transmission time - 2.5 to 8 seconds @@ck_e|l C@|Mins

Weather Benefits

American Airlines has keen interest in adverse weather.

J Early flight change decisions based on weather data leading to:

- Higher on-time arrival rates

- Improved fuel savings

- More comfortable ride to passengers (avoid turbulence)

M Better weather data for remote routes such as South

America and Pacific rim.

Enhanced flight safety

! Reduce number of injuries due to unexpected turbulence.

@@ck_e|il

C@llins

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TOTAL LIGHTNING FROM NASA's

OTD (1998)

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AWC product (Atlantic sector)

Need for Extended Coverage for

International Convective SIGMETs

Q

Oceanic Weather Inforrnation:

Oceanic Convective Nowcasting

Demonstration (OCND)

Weather Accident Prevention Annual Review Cleveland OH 5 June 2001 Tenny Lindholm The National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder Colorado -- National Centd For ALrnosphericResearctt

Overview

Q

Oceanic/remote area aviation weather requirements On-going research addressing requirements Oceanic Convective Nowcasting Demonstration (OCND) -- National Center for Atmospheric Research

What the industry needs

Q

Timely generation and distribution of weather information for en route oceanic operations - Weather information (vs. data) addressing hazards >>Convection >>Turbulence--convective induced and clear air (ClT/CAT) _>Icing _>Volcanic ash dispersion _>High-resolution (time and space) flight-level winds - Distribution infrastructure and displays--ground and airborne -- National Centd for AtrnospheqcResearch

What we are doing

Q

. FAA sponsored Product Development Teams (PDTs) within AUA-430 and led by NCAR - Oceanic Weather PDT. Products for data sparse regions include >> Convective diagnoses, nowcasts, forecasts >>Turbulence, all types >> In-flight icing >>Volcanic ash >> High resolution winds - National C&V PDT >> High-resolution (time and space) national C&V diagnoses and forecasts Development and implementation of "intelligent weather systems" -- National Centd For ALrnosphericResearch

Oceanic Weather

Q

"Intelligent weather systems" - Use of expert system framework to mimic what a meteorologist does to generate a forecast - Allows fast and precise assimilation of all data that can add skill to generate informational products - Result: rapidly and frequently updated, high resolution, 4- dimensional graphic of the weather hazard that is easily transmitted to ground and airborne users -- National Center for Atmos pheric R es earch

Oceanic Convection

Q

For example, diagnosing and nowcasting convection - Visual satellite imagery to locate clouds - Infrared satellite imagery to determine cloud tops - Water vapor channel to determine spot winds - Global numerical model data for assimilating spot winds and creating a uniform wind field - Lightning data and cloud classification algorithms to distinguish convection - Plus use of any available ground station data and radar data Integration yields a precise diagnosis and nowcast of convection in 3 dimensions -- Nadonal Center Fa ALrncs'pheiicRes'earch

OCND--Prelude to OWPDT

Q

+ Purpose - Primary focus: Demonstrate and implement an end-to-end weather hazard and product dissemination system for remote/oceanic areas. Users include airline dispatch, air traffic control, and the airborne flight crew (data link).

- Develop operationally useful weather products, including the automated process to create them, for remote/oceanic areas.

Products include convection, turbulence, in-flight icing, and satellite-based winds (diagnoses, forecasts).

+ Participants--NCAR (lead), United Airlines, Aviation Weather Center (NWS), Naval Research Laboratory, Oakland Oceanic ARTCC, ARINC + Sponsors--FAA Aviation Weather Research Program (AWRP) and NASA Aviation Weather Information (AWlN) Program A _ Nadonal Centg Fol A[rnos pheric R esear ch

OCND Program

Q

OCND regional focus--flights to/from CONUS and New Zealand/Australia - Automated product creation (convective hazards initially) at NCAR - Transmission to and display at United dispatch and Oakland Center - Data link to the aircraft via ARINC - Evaluation, feedback, and further development -- National Center tbr AtmosphoricRcsearch :::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: :::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: :::: : ::-- >= _0 000 _ >= 40 000 ..................................

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Summary

Q

Convective diagnosis--ready now. Check it out at http://www.rap.ucar.edu/projects/ocnd/realtime_sys/ Convective nowcasts, CIT, CAT, in-flight icing--in the development pipeline and will be ready for evaluation in FY03 Product development includes dissemination infrastructure Initial feedback from flight crews and dispatch indicates the information is of high value Status of data link to the flight deck...

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Message Failure Rate (MFR) based on10,000 Messages

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Decision-making in flight with different

convective weather information sources:

Preliminary Results

from

the Langley CoWS Experiment

(COnvective Weather Sources)

Jim Chamberlain Kara Latorella

Crew Systems & Operations Branch Crew Vehicle Integration Branch NASA Langley Research Center Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop ~ 2001 ~ Chamberlain & Latorella

Outline

!

CoWS Experimental Apparatus Development

- Ground Station

- B200 Aircraft

- Airborne System

o CoWS Experiment

- Experimental Conditions & Objectives

- Procedures

- Preliminary Results

- Conclusions

- The Future of CoWS

Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop- 2001 - Chamberlain & Latorella

Ex erimental A aratus

Use CRA-developed, removable tethered-

display AWIN system in B200

° Honeywell CRA AWIN ground stations

° Langley B200 Super King Air

° Honeywell CRA tethered AWIN system

Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop- 2001 - Chamberlain & Latorella

Ground Infrastructure

!

NAVRADIO VDL - 2 / 3 GROUNDSTATION

Typical Honeywell CRA

TYPICAL INSTALLATION

AWI N Ground Station

AWOS SENSOR ::TOWER:_0 METERS:: i i • Satcom antenna & receiver VDLVHF • Processor & power supply ANTENNA •VDL transmitter & antenna Ruggedized, Compact, Self- Contained AWIN Receiver/Processor at RTI/Hampton can record Wx

/

Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop- 2001 - Chamberlain & Latorella !

Five ground stations, 40nm radius

Four destinations & flight paths

Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop- 2001 - Chamberlain & Latorella

B200 Super King Air

Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop ~ 2001 ~ Chamberlain & Latorella

AWIN Architecture _'_

Subject's AWIN Antenna Receiver Scan Display

VilE .......... vD. ItProcessor t

Converter Antenna Receiver ..... Processor, i i...... Scan Experimenter's GPS .......... _ GPS t t Converter AWIN 28 VDC i Power i :'_ Power -- i Display i Supply i i ..................................................

Tethered

Antenna/Power

Seat-Mounted

Displays

Connections

Pallet

Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop- 2001 - Chamberlain & Latorella

Equipment Pallet in the B200

Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop ~ 2001 ~ Chamberlain & Latorella

AWlN Dis la in B200

!

Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop ~ 2001 ~ Chamberlain & Latorella

AWlN Input Devices

!

Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop ~ 2001 ~ Chamberlain & Latorella

AWlN Dis la Elements

!

\

/

Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop ~ 2001 ~ Chamberlain & Latorella

CoWS Ex eriment

!

• Motivation

• Objectives

° Participants

° Experimental Design

° Experimental Protocol

° Preliminary Results

° Conclusions

Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop ~ 2001 ~ Chamberlain & Latorella

Ex erimental Motivation

• General aviation accident statistics

° The hazards of convective weather

° Aviation Weather INformation (AWIN) systems

Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop- 2001 - Chamberlain & Latorella

Ex erimental Ob'ectives

(

How do _ use

different weather information sources

when weather situations?

Sources

- Conventional aural (ATC, HIWAS, Flight watch),

- Out-the-window visual scene + aural

- AWlN display + aural

o Effects

- Confidence, Workload, Information Sufficiency

Situation awareness, dechion qu_fitX, h_dividu_l dikferer_ Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop ~ 2001 ~ Chamberlain & Latorella

_iii r

Participants

(

• 8 Check-out, 12 Experimental, 6 reported here

Subject Requirements

-local GA pilots

- instrument rating

- 50-1000 cross-country or 250 - 1000 total flight-hours

Has not worked for a scheduled air-carrier in prior year

Has not participated in the RTI FISDL simulation study

Subjects clustered by cross-country hours

- low (135), medium (379), high (738) (p<.OOOl)

- 4 teams of 3 subjects (one of each level)

Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop- 2001 - Chamberlain & Latorella

_ In

fli ht Ex erimental Conditions_

!

For each flight

"IMC" VMC Without Aural Cues Aural AWIN + Window Aural Aural With -I- AWIN Display Window

For each subject (cue set condition)

- 6 "proximity" observations of confidence

- 1 observation of workload & information sufficiency

Three flights per team

Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop ~ 2001 ~ Chamberlain & Latorella

r Ex erimental Conditions in B20_O_'_

_ = Opaque covers for side windows & onboard radar j Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop- 2001 - Chamberlain & Latorella Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop ~ 2001 ~ Chamberlain & Latorella

_iii r

Scenarios

(

Mission Motivations

- wedding, graduation, job interview

Flight Scenario

- Flying IFR, but in VMC

- NASA to destination, 1.5-2 hours

- Convective fronts, moderate + intensity

- Approach front--45 °

o Aircraft Performance --- small single-engine

- Cruising Altitude = 14000', above haze layer

- Cruising Speed ~ 170kts true airspeed

- not radar-equipped, no deicing equipment

not pressurized, but does have Oxygen

Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop ~ 2001 ~ Chamberlain & Latorella

,,_iii r

Scenario Fli ht Paths _'_

I Test range 5 ground stations, 40nm radius

Four destinations & flight paths

I Charleston, WV ]

Clarksburg, WV ] Abingdon, VA I Hickory, NC I Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop ~ 2001 ~ Chamberlain & Latorella

.,_iii r

Ex erimental Protocol

Preflight

- Introduction to COWS, assignment to conditions

- Mission, route, and regional information briefing

- Weather briefing

_ D UA TS text & graphics, _ Audiotaped FSS briefing, twice _ Review _ Preflight SA questionnaire

- Intervening tasks

_ A WIN training, personality, risk, weather knowledge test

Flight

- Outbound phase

-Inbound phase

ebdefing

Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop ~ 2001 ~ Chamberlain & Latorella

In-fli ht Protocol _'_

Outbound Protocol

Pilot Report

Inbound Protocol

- Draw position & weather

- Inbound questionnaire

- Usability questionnai_

Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop- 2001 - Chamberlain & Latorella

_iii r

Prelimina Results- Confidence_

Summary of ANOVA

- Cue set ~ Highly significant (p<.O001)

- Proximity to weather ~ Not significant (p=.691)

- Cue set X Proximity ~ Not significant (p=.275)

Confidence in Picture Ratings 4.0 I

Pair-wise comparisons (LSD)3_

- Aural v. Window (p<.OOOl) 30

'_ '31:1" _ : _ :_

- Aural v. Display (p<.OOOl) 2.5'

Window v. Display (/3= _4,9,1)

2.0, / 1.5, Aural "_ 1.0= ::: Aural+Window Aural+Display ILl .5 120 100 80 60 40 20nm Proximity to Weather (nm)

J

Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop- 2001 - Chamberlain & Latorella Prelimina Results - _,

Information Sufficienc

Summary of ANOVA

- Cue set--- Significant (p<.o61)

@

Pair-wise comparisons (LSD)

Number of Additional Sources Requested

- Aural v. Display (p=.OO9) 14

- Window v. Display (p=.094

Aural v, Window (p<_42}

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__ g 4 aural window display Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop ~ 2001 - Chamberlain & Latorella

_iii r

Prelimina Results- Workload

!

o Summary of ANOVA

- Performance Rating

>> Cue set _ Significant (p<.091) _ Subjects _ Significant (p<.03)

- Physical Rating

_ Subjects _ Significant (p<.02)

Pair-wise cue set comparisons (LSD)

- Performance ~ not significant

>> Trend: Aural < Display, Window 2O C'--

Subjects did repopt that

rr

wor:k/oc_dwas sire/Jar to

c'- _window _:_ 5 that when actually flying.

!_ I_aural oo _ _ _display % o_ • _ _,-

\

Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop ~ 2001 ~ Chamberlain & Latorella

Conclusions

Reliance on AWI N in IMC and close to hazards

- As confident as visuals - possibly over-confident

- Less likely to seek information from ground sources

- Perceived performance similar to window condition

- Data is at least 6 minutes old, was as old as 30 minutes

Implications: design, training, & use guidelines

>> RTCA FIS-B Minimum Aviation System Performance Standards.

>>Document: DO-267 >>note added to indicate need for age v. timestamp >> Need more salient indication or alerting Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop- 2001 - Chamberlain & Latorella

_iii r

The Future of CoWS

(

Other Experimental ResuRs

- Full data set - Effects of cues on inflight SA & decisions >> proximity to convective frontal weather - Effects of individual characteristics >> personality, risk tolerance, weather knowledge - Effects of weather graphics on preflight SA

UsabiJity Assessment of an available AWIN system

Canned cues for subsequent comparative analysis

- Onboard weather radar, AWIN radar mosaic, - Pilot observations, ground sources (ATC,FW, FSS), - HIWAS, video of external view.

Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop ~ 2001 ~ Chamberlain & Latorella !

CoWS

Convective Weather Sources

iiii

Questions?

Presented at the NASA Weather Accident Prevention Workshop ~ 2001 ~ Chamberlain & Latorella Z

Project Goals

¢13 o o bo

• Develop a Better Understanding of the Use

of Data-Linked Weather Information

• Provide Guidance to FAA/Manufacturers

on the Use of Data-Linked Weather

Information

• Recommend Guidelines for Inclusion in the

AIM and ACs

Z > >

Description

o o bo

A Series of Rigorous Investigations Using Piloted

Simulation of the Effects of Various Data-Linked

Cockpit Weather Information Treatments

Z ¢13

Research Triangle Institute (RTI)

o o bo

Completed Experiments

Use of a Data-Linked Weather Information Display and

the Effects on Navigation Decision Making in a Piloted

bo

Simulation Study

The Effects of Ownship Information and NEXRAD

Resolution in use of a Weather Information Display

Z

Research Triangle Institute (RTI)

o o

Current Experiment

An Investigation into the Use of NEXRAD Image Looping

and the Use of the National Convective Weather Forecast

Product on a Moving Map Display for General Aviation

Z >

First RTI Experiment ]

> o o

June 1999 to August 2000

_o

Investigate the use of a Data-Linked Weather

_o

Information Display and the Effects on

_o

Navigation Decision Making in a Piloted

Simulation Study

Z

Objective & Hypothesis

o o

Objective: To investigate the potential for

misuse of weather information, and thus

provide guidance to the FAA

Hypothesis: Delayed weather information

datalinked to a cockpit display may lead to

navigation decision errors

Z

> Experiment Design

> o o

Two groups of pilots, 12 with a datalinked weather display

bo

and 12 without a weather display

The simulator mission consisted of a two-leg mercy flight

with convective weather along the route

bo

• All subjects were current Instrument Flight Rules (IFR)

qualified pilots

navigation decisions.

:Z

RTI Simulation Har( lware Confi_,zuration

> 0'3 > o o bo ATC Controller Closed Circuit V (CCTV) and Recorder Simulation bo Siceq.ew onl[or m Scenario Switch I Position I J Simulator Cab Observers

RTI Cockpit Research Facility

Z o o Z

o o

Data Linked Weather Display Screen Layout

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Mission Scenario

Z > > o

o Take-off from Newport News

b,3

Pick-up medicine at Richmond

Encounters thunderstorm that prevents

landing at Richmond (decision 1)

b,3

Divert or waved off from Richmond

Continue flight to Wallops Island with medicine.

Encounters thunderstorms

enroute to Wallops (decision 2)

Lands successfully at Wallops Island Airport

Experiment Procedure

Z ¢13

o 1. Pilot given Risk Aversion and Weather Knowledge tests

o bo

2. Pilot briefed on mission, simulator and weather display

3. Pilot provided instruction and practice in the simulator

4. Pilot planned flight (charts, weather reports provided)

o

5. Pilot performed the mission, data was collected

6. Pilot completed Immediate Reaction Questionnaire

7. Pilot participated in structured interview, data was collected

8. Pilot completed open-ended questionnaire

(each experiment session took approximately 5 hours)

Z o o b_

Conclusions

Z ¢13 o o

The weather display system used in this study

bo

did not improve pilot decision making

- Situational awareness increased but at a cost of

higher workload

bo

- Pilots were unable to easily perceive their proximity

to potentially hazardous weather conditions

- Pilots had difficulty determining storm movement

- Display caused less reliance on other weather sources

Z > >

Recommendations

o o b,3

• Provide the following features

- Ownship information symbology

- Direction and rate of hazardous weather

- Intuitive NEXRAD image age information

- Provide METAR code translation

- Develop training curriculum

- Emphasize that a weather display not to be used for

navigation

Z ¢13

Second RTI Experiment

o o bo

September 2000 to April 2001

Investigate the Effects of Ownship

4_

Information and NEXRAD Resolution in

the use of a Weather Information Display

Z ;>

Objective & Hypothesis

;> o o bo

Objectives: Explore the relationship between delayed

uplinked weather information and aircraft ownship.

Explore the effect of differing sizes of NEXRAD cell

size on pilot judgement.

Hypothesis: There is a potential for misuse of delayed

weather information superimposed onto a moving map

display with aircraft ownship.

Additionally, weather display resolution is an integral

element of weather situational awareness, and has a

significant effect on pilot judgement.

Z

Comparisons of follow-on experiment to

¢13

previous baseline experiment

o o bo Experiment similarities:

• Identical facilities

• Similar subject pilot selection process

• Similar data collection (expanded)

• Identical materials and procedures

• Similar data analysis (expanded)

Experiment differences:

• Addition of ownship symbology to weather display

• One group of 12 pilots used 4 km NEXRAD cells

• The other group of 12 pilots used 8 km NEXRAD cells

Datalinked Weather Display with Addition of Ownship Symbology

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Comparison of Small and large NEXRAD cells

> o o 1914Z NEXRAD Image 1914Z NEXRAD Image Small Cells (4 km sides) Large Cells (8 km sides)

(both maps cover identical geographical areas)

Relationship to Previous Baseline Experiment

Z o o

(red arrows denote statistical comparisons)

Mission Scenario

Z > >

(identical to baseline experiment)

o o b,3

Take-off from Newport News

Pick-up medicine at Richmond

Encounters thunderstorm that prevents

landing at Richmond (decision 1)

b,3

Divert or waved off from Richmond

Continue flight to Wallops Island with medicine.

Encounters thunderstorms

enroute to Wallops (decision 2)

Lands successfully at Wallops Island Airport

Experiment Procedure

Z ¢13

o 1. Pilot given Risk Aversion and Weather Knowledge tests

o bo

2. Pilot briefed on mission, simulator and weather display

3. Pilot provided instruction and practice in the simulator

4. Pilot planned flight (charts, weather reports provided)

bo

5. Pilot performed the mission, data was collected

6. Pilot completed Immediate Reaction Questionnaire

7. Pilot participated in structured interview, data was collected

8. Pilot completed open-ended questionnaire

(each experiment session took approximately 5 hours)

Data Collection

Z > > o o

_o navigation decisions...

m good or poor, based on objective criteria

_o _o

... and the weather information gathering methods used to

arrive at those decisions.

weather services used, and how the pilot

integrated the information

Conclusions

Z ;> ;>

• Datalinked weather display increased situational

o

awareness of hazardous weather

o bo

• Introduction of ownship symbology did not increase

number of good decisions, but did decrease workload

Introduction of larger NEXRAD cells did have a positive

effect on decision making

bo

Use of datalinked weather display compelled some pilots

to forgo use of corroborating weather sources

• Textual METAR teletype codes were difficult to decipher

in high workload situations

• Pilots questioned validity of METAR data due to age

• Larger NEXRAD cells contributed to stimulus area effect

Z Recommendations

> ¢13 >

• Provide ownship information symbology

o o bo

• Provide more effective means of distance determination

• Provide intuitive NEXRAD image age information

bo

• Train pilots in the use and limitations of datalinked

weather displays

• Provide METAR teletype code English translations

• Investigate depiction of direction and rate

of hazardous weather movement

Overview of Continuing Research

Z > >

(started May 2001)

o o bo

An Investigation into the Use of NEXRAD Image

Looping and the Use of the National Convective Weather

Forecast Product on a Moving Map Display for

General Aviation

bo

• Determine the effects of NEXRAD looping on pilot

decisions and workload

• Determine the effects of using a nowcast product on

pilot decisions and workload

The experiment will be similar in design, procedures, equipment,

mission and analysis to the previous two experiments

Datalinked Weather Display with the National Convective

Z

Weather Forecast Product

o o

(blue outlined areas indicate one-hour forecast of cell movement )

Z Some Possible Future

Experiments

o o

Investigation into the use of Data-Linked Weather

Information Display with Enhanced Weather Products and

Decision Aids during Collaboration with Weather Service

Providers (Collaborative Decision-Making Training Issues)

Investigation of the Effect of Information Search Prompting

upon use of Weather Displays in Decision Making.

• Investigation into Workload and Decision-Making Effects of

an Integrated Weather and Navigation Display System

Z o o

QUESTIONS ?

Z ;> 0'3 ;> o o bo

TAMDAR Capabilities Development

June 6, 2001

oo

.er

Taumi Daniels NASA Langley Research Center (757) 864-4659 Hampton, Virginia t. s. da n iels@ la rc. nasa .gov

_ Outline

b_

• Goal & Background

® TAMDAR Sensor Development & Testing

• Coverage Analysis

• Fleet Operational Evaluation

® Alternate Method

• Summary

Goal of TAMDAR

b_

TAMDAR Background

_ National Aviation Weather Program Council (Federal Coordinator for Meteorology, NASA, FAA, NTSB, NWS, DOD, Department of Agriculture) ._ .National Aviation Weather Program Strategic Plan, April 1997 bo • National Aviation Weather Initiatives, January 1999 • Implement data link capabilities for Flight Information Services (FIS) • Develop and implement multifunctional color cockpit displays incorporating FIS products Expand and institutionalize the generation, dissemination_ and use of automated P_RBPS to the full spectrum of the aviation community, including general aviation • Improve underlying weather forecasting services • Require, develop, and implement aviation weather-related training packages for users • Improve aviation weather information telecommunications capabilities for ground-ground dissemination of aviation weather products • Establish objective standards for characterizing various weather phenomena for national and international use

TAMDAR Background

o o bo

,, NavRadio Team Phase I CRA propose low cost electronic

pilot report capability

,, Transmitter design stymied by lack of frequency allocation;

effort focused on sensor

,, After many acquisitions, NavRadio _ Honeywell, Int.

bo Phase II CRA not pursued by Honeywell, Int.

,, Effort becomes project under AWlN

,, Tri-Agency Team formed to develop concept of operations

GTRI/ODS task contract in place to complete sensor

development

TAMDAR Flowchart

_ :::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: Alter nat iv ,-

'_ I _

I L.O ::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::

_ov_i_

St_d_

TAMDAR Sensor

o o bo *can be computed TAMDAR is envisioned to downlink weather data from non-jet aircraft.

The weather data will be sent to FSL, FSS, ATC, AWC, and others via a ground-based infrastructure and to other aircraft. New weather products will be generated and uplinked to the cockpit.

_ TAMDAR System Concept

b_

AWIN System @

Aircraft Capabilities

° I

ho I -_ I User Capabilities Processor Data Link

+

c_ A i!;:_gmallon _ Position I S Ground Wx I _" a!'° l_FlightPlanl System

A

I Tra'_cI I Terrain I

Data Link I Special Use Airspace Obstacles J

Sensor Development

o o bo

,, Task Contract with GTRI and subcontractor ODS

,, Subtask 1 Requirements Definition and Design

Review

,, Subtask 2: Sensor Fabrication

"-4

,, Subtask 3: Flight test on research aircraft

o

Future Tasks Evaluate flight test results; make

design modifications as needed, fabricate additional

units; conduct fleet evaluation; evaluate results

Sensor Development

b_

,, Current version of sensor ground tested and flight

tested

Next version of sensor currently under

development

oo

Flight test of next version planned for 10-11/01 on-

board University of Wyoming B200 atmospheric

research aircraft

,, Possible flight testing during International Water

Project (IHOP) 5-6/02

NASA Ground Tests

,,Langley 7 x 10 Inch Low Speed Tunnel (5/2001 - 6/2001)

• Air speed, temperature, pressure comparison

,,Langley Test & Dynamics Branch Facilities

,, "Shake and Bake" testing includes temperature,

pressure, and vibration

Testing to be conducted May- June 2001

,,Glenn Icing Research Tunnel Test (3/21 - 3/23)

Piggyback on another test

® ODS also tested Model 1000 Icing Sensor

NASA Ground Tests

b_

NASA Ground Tests

3/21 First Run Icing Response b_ 25O 2OO

NASA Ground Tests

b_ b_

NASA Ground Tests

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NASA Ground Tests

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ETMS Analysis of IFR Flights

_ Average weekly operations over 12 months

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_ ETMS Analysis of IFR Flights

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_ ETMS Analysis of IFR Flights

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FL" 50 - 100

_ ETMS Analysis of I FR Flights

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FL" 100- 150

_ ETMS Analysis of IFR Flights

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................ _ _ _i_ _ _

_ ETMS Analysis of IFR Flights

o

o Estimated % CONUS Coverage of TAMDAR flights

bo 000//0 .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................

90%- ....... _.__: ...... _.

80%- 70% 60%- t_ 50%- > --_ Summer 05/20/99 40%- -- Fall 08/12/99 30% Winter 01/13/00 20% ....... _-_ Spring 03/09/00 10% 0% 0 - 5,000 5,000- 10,000- 15,000- 20,000- 25,000- 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 Altitude range (if) Source:F_ATA-200ATAirspaceLabBrentBrunk

Capstone and TAMDAR

o o bo

® FAA Capstone agreed to AWlN proposal to include

TAMDAR into Bethel Area operational evaluation

,, NASA to deliver 10 certifiable sensors

FAA Capstone to support equipage, certifications, bo

installations, and modifications to communications

infrastructure

ODS to support installations and calibrations

Tri-Agency TAMDAR Team

o o bo o

Representatives from NASA Langley, NASA

Glenn, FAA ARW-100, FAA AUA-400, NOAA

FSL, NOAA NWS meet to coordinate

L.o

® First action" No longer use term "E-PIREP"

Currently drafting "Concept of Operations"

NOAA FSL Activities

o o bo o

Goal of Fleet Operational Evaluation is to get the

data to NOAA Forecast Systems Lab

Q Challenges for FSL:

,, Provide consultation on sensor development

,, Identify and establish sources of corroborative weather

information

Perform data validation, collection, storage and archival

,, Investigate meteorological phenomena revealed by this

new high resolution data

,, Develop new weather products

Fleet Operational Evaluation Concept

o o bo L.h

o o

Disseminate data to NOAA FSL via one

of the following:

• Cellular Modem

oARNAV

,,Honeywell

oFlyTimer

oUPS AT

.Orbcomm

oEchoFlight

oSITA

.ARINC

Fleet Operator Selection Criteria

o o bo

,, Two or more fleet operators

At least 50 aircraft of same type

,* 24 x 7 operations

,, Extensive routes in geographically

diverse regions

--4

,, Can be FIS & TAMDAR equipped

,, Can participate in 6 month duration

research project

Candidates: UND, ERAU, OU, United

Express, UPS, Federal Express

Calibration Issues

o o bo

Sensors are factory calibrated

Capability to perform field calibration with

external connection to instrumentation

® Possibly perform self-checking via ASOS or

oo

,, Ground truth checking at FSL

,, Need to establish calibration schedule and

standards

Some pilot training may be involved

Certification for Fleet O. E.

_ Fleet Operational Evaluation would require"

• FAA Certification of sensor

® Selection of fleet operator and aircraft type

• Certification Plan

® RTCA DO-160E testing

National Demonstration

o o bo

,, AvSP goal for a 2002 National Demonstration

,, Some Potential Activities Include:

o

,, International Water Vapor Experiment (IHOP) using

,, Planned Fleet operational evaluation most likely to

occur in 2003

Alternate Method

o o bo ®

NPOESS - National Polar Orbiting Operational

Environmental Satellite System- DoD, NASA, NOAA

team with partners EUMETSAT and NASDA

5 NPOESS satellites, deployed from 2008 to 2011,

operational through 2018, each equipped with a

subset of ten different sensors.

® ATMS - Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder

,, VIIRS - Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite

CrlS- Cross-track Infrared Sounder

Alternate Method @

o tu_w _'re_° Refiect_r ._ ,, ATMS - Advanced Technology ,o,_, .,_,._,_°,

Microwave Sounder

,_ Ten altitude bands, from 4 to 37 Km * Measures water vapor and temperature Etectrorki¢ _, " 32 Km spot size Pewer l.te.,ai_lib_.atim.. _.

,, CrlS- Cross-track Infrared Sounder

,_ Measures water vapor, temperature and pressure

VIIRS- Visible Infrared Imaging

Radiometer Suite

,, Measures temperature and pressure

• NASA FAA NOAA Industry Collaborative Effort

• TAMDAR Sensor Development

Ground/Flight Testing

FAA Capstone

L.O

® NOAA FSL

Fleet Operational Evaluation

AWlN National Demonstration

For

Weather Accident Prevention Annual Project Review

Cleveland, Ohio, Hilton South

June 5-7, 2001

Monty Andro/Stephen C. Wiersma NASA Glenn Research Center Cleveland, OH 44135 (216) 433-3492 mandro@grc.nasa.gov

TAMDAR Objectives

Use aircraft operating below 20,000 ft altitude to sense and report .Moisture .Temperature .Winds

_ 20,000 ft. MSL

to be used by • Forecast models • Weather briefers .Controllers • Other aircraft NASA Inter-Agency Effort • NASA Glenn Research • NASA Langley Research

TAMDAR Flowchart

FAA/MDCRS ICAO/AMDAR / Assessment RTCAJAUTOMET Define & Demonstrate | of Alternative Capstone Communications Architecture Methods Standards

r (WINCOMM)

TAMDAR Ground Infrastructure Data Concept H ArSy;t:cture H System Requirements I Establish & Prototype F H Measurement & Users I (FAA NWS)

]

r

I

Incentives and Business Evaluation Requirements Sensor

H Sensor _b t Prototype t'_

Case Studies Document of Sensor Laboratory

r'

Definition of of Aircraft Installation ,_ Installed Coverage Airspace H Identification Ii II I Equipment Issues on Aircraft Study to Equip System Architecture System Performance Assessment of I & Benefits to Users Tests

._,.:,__,_._o.o,,,,,,_._,_,.Deve,! ° P ment

ASSoei Relevant _ MDCRS _ AMDAR I Ore _11 NAS Architectu re !nteg ration Requireme nts

TAMDAR Conops

Conops Development by team of FAA, NASA, NOAA, and NWS.

• Based on the RTCA DO-252, Minimum Interoperability Standards (MIS) for Automated Meteorological Transmission (AUTOMET) General Communication Considerations • Support plane to plane communications • Ascent, descent and en-route sensitive sampling rates.

• Immediate updates of HAZMET type reports (icing) • 5 min latency from sample time to weather processing center • Data rate based on precision, sample rate, and update rate.

TAMDAR Com Activities

Studies ADS-B Candidates: UAT, MODE S, VDL 4 Issue: Surveillance band (UAT and MODE S), VDL4 questionable near term solution.

FIS G-IPPA's Honeywell, ARNAV Issue: Broadcast only license.

2 Way VDL-2_ARINC, SITA Issue: targeted towards carriers.

Satellite Based_Globalstar, Orbcom/Echoflight, Generic Satellite Systems Issue: Financial stability.

TAMDAR Com Activities

FAA TAMDAR Architecture Study Flight Experiments • UAT Cessna Demonstration • Orbcom/Echoflight Cessna Demonstration Capstone Collaboration

CAPSTONE

Roles and Responsibilities

(Task A: TAMDAR Datalink Architecture) NASA WINCOMM will: - Perform UATlaboratory assessment - TAMDAR flight sensor - UATflight assessment - UAT for TAMDAR datalink assessment/evaluation - Jointly develop plans for TAMDAR insertion into Capstone - Overall TAMDAR datalink architecture validation in Capstone environment FAA Capstone will: - Provide a UAT flight transceiver and associated support avionics - Provide a UAT ground station - Jointly develop plans for TAMDAR insertion into Capstone for a multi-aircraft demonstration - Provide field assistance for TAMDAR field testing in Capstone - Provide demonstration aircraft and integration of TAMDAR and Capstone equipment.

- Provide field performance data for analysis

CAPSTONE

Roles and Responsibilities

(Task B: SATCOM FIS Augmentation) NASA WINCOMM will: - Perform analyses of potential candidate SATCOM systems for AK. Analyses will investigate footprint coverage, link budgets, and system information capacity, latency and integrity.

- As necessary, provide access to NASA-owned facilities, communications system hardware such as SWIS, Globalstar, and Echoflight and test instrumentation for the investigation.

- Jointly develop necessary test plans - Perform end-end system assessment of SATCOM augmentation scenarios.

FAA Capstone will: - Provide AK region operational datalink requirements - As necessary, provide access to Capstone infrastructure and integration of SATCOM hardware for end-to-end field evaluation - Jointly develop necessary test plans - Provide field performance data for analysis and final documentation

UAT Avionics Architecture

Multifunction Display Datalink Radio LCD ADS-B Ctrl/Data Timing/PPS N A V Altitude Serial Encoder Jeppesen Data

UAT TAMDAR Flight Experiment

UPS AT assisting in software modifications to avionics and ground station (GBT) • Combined avionics, ground station, and sensor demonstration • Modify avionics to accept 15.5 byte TAMDAR data • Encapsulate TAMDAR data in a extended type message • Modify GBT to output TAMDAR data • Maintain current UAT framing and signaling

Orbcom/Echoflight Flight Experiment

TAMDAR messages encapsulated into email messages and transmitted through Echoflight system.

Ground based systems receive and store email messages with TAMDAR data.

• Evaluate message reliability and delay

ADS - B Studies

UAT, MOD-S, VDL 4 assessment will be accomplished by JHU-APL • Leverage existing JHU-APL work for ADS-B simulations • Will evaluate air communication only • Ground communication assessment will accomplished at NASA Glenn • Transfer models to NASA Glenn

WINCOM Studies

ARINC Study • Assess current MDCRS architecture in supporting new participants (part 121, part 91) • Investigate data link coverage and availability • Investigate ground distribution and loading • Assess and propose plans for improvement Honeywell and ARNAV • Leverage existing Cooperative Research Agreements • Work with vendors to complete assessment Satellite Based • Leverage existing and on-going in-house architecture studies • Include assessment of in-house laboratory experimentation

FAA Task

Task 3 FISDL Communications Assessments: Subtask I of 2 "... provide assessments of communications alternatives for implementing a national system for collecting, processing and disseminating electronic pilot report data ..."

FAA Needs: - Assessment and recommendations of data link communications technology and ground communications infrastructure that supports national downlinking of electronic pilot reporting.

Schedule - Final Report 9/01 Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ :Z > 0'3 > o Oshkosh Survey - Weather Equipment o bo other wind speed Outside air temperature Ice sensor Weather radar Stormscope Weather information Fixed GPS Portable GPS Multi function display 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Percent Respondents Z > > o o bo Importance of cockpit display Lat-long o Humidity Dew point Turbulence Winds alolt Ice sensor Increasing importance ,_ :Z > 0'3 > o o bo Incentive Importance Rating Payment for transmitting data Tax incentives Contribute to aviation safety GPS location in emergency Free weather information Air to air weather data 2 3 Increasing importance • :Z > (/3 > o o bo bo How much would you pay for EPIREPS?

"6 E Z $0-1000 $1,001- $2,001- $3,001- $4,001- $5,001- $7,000- $10,001- 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 7,000 10,000 40,000 Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ b_

Airborne Turbulence Warning

System Development

Weather Accident Prevention

Second Annual Review

June 5-7, 2001

Rod Bogue

NASA Dryden Flight Research Center

An End-to-End Tactical Turbulence

Warning System

Turbulence Detection & Mitigation Role

in Overall Warnin Plan

Cockpit __ N Turbulenc_ Forecast Comm ___i:,-' Nowcast ,,..,._ ...._ In-situ Sensor

Model for Reducing Air Carrier

Turbulence Accident Rate

Industry Government (FAA/NASA) Z > > o o bo

Meteorological Case Studies of Turbulence

Encounters

Richard Ferris _11TLincoln Laboratory

Outline

o o b_ • Basis for Investigations • Data Collection • Case Studies - West Palm Beach, FL (Convective) - Wilmington, DE (Convective) - Cross City, FL (Convective) 4_ - Cape Girardeau, MO (CAT) - Houston, TX (Inconclusive) • Conclusions • Future Work _11TLincoln Laboratory

Basis for Investigation

> > b_ • Assistance to: - National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) - Dryden Flight Research Center (DFRC) • NTSB - Analyses to help determine cause of upsets DFRC - Flight Operations Quality Assurance (FOQA) data - Weather analysis of selected turbulence cases - Safeguards taken to prevent unauthorized disclosure _11TLincoln Laboratory

Basis for Investigation

> > • Flight data recorder data alone will not suffice to determine causality • Need to understand meteorological phenomena to develop an overall avoidance system c_ Results will provide insights into issues that arise in both encounter analysis and development of automated systems Unclear if one would have identified operationally significant turbulence without apriori knowledge of upset location _11TLincoln Laboratory

Data Collection

> > • Mishap locations and flight profiles provided by NTSB and FOQA data Weather data obtained from National Climatic Data Center - NEXRAD Archive Level II - Satellite imagery - Upper air charts/soundings - Surface charts • Data processed, generated, and analyzed locally _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study I (NTSB)

> > o o Severe turbulence near West b_ Palm Beach, FL One pax seriously injured Initially at 16,000 ft • Loss of over 3000 ft in 30 sec • Recovered and landed at MIA -82" -81 " -_ 0"krn _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 1

> > b_ • Frontal boundary • Multi-layered clouds Widespread convection • Winds at altitude: 240/35 • Only available radar-KAMX _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 1

> > • Plan view at incident time o ,_ • Nearest convection" 42 dBZ cell approximately 20 km to SSW • Nothing indicative of severe turbulence 4_ 4_ _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 1

> > • Incident along 24 degree radial at 128 nm o ,_ • Time: Approximately 10 minutes before upset • Shear zones visible 4_ 4_ _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 1

> > o_ • Time: Approximately 5 minutes before upset o bo • Shear zones remain visible 4_ 4_ b_ _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 1

> > * At time of upset o • 16.5 m/s couplet present approximately 3 km from aircraft iii_ _iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii_i_ _ii _____ _ii __i_ __i_ _i_ __ ___iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii_ 4_ _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study I Conclusions

> > • Aircraft was flying outside and downwind of convection • Aircraft experienced upset indicative of severe turbulence • Initial data revealed nothing exceptional • Cross-sectional analysis and supporting evidence suggest a convectively induced mid-level windshear may have impacted the aircraft's flight path • Aircrew flight control inputs were also a major factor _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 2 (FOQA)

> > _ • Near Wilmington, DE • Altitude: 7712 ft • Heading: 49.6 degrees • Auto Pilot: On • Comp. airspeed: 266.0 kts • Max G: +1.98 4_

Case Study 2

> > o • Sfc chart at Incident - 91 min.

o b_ • Complex low off NJ coast • Cold front/trough moving through area • Snow and rainshowers from NE to Virginia 4_ J " :_" 3 , _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 2

> > • Satellite images approximately 1 minute after Incident (I) o b_ 4_ _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 2

> > o o b_ 850 mb (5000 ft) winds at 1+4.5 hrs.

(310/45) Trough in area 4_ Strong cold air advection \ _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 2

> > • NEXRAD reflectivity (left) and velocity (right) during Incident o b_ 4_ _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 2

> > • Enlarged version of previous images during Incident b_ _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 2

> > • Vertical cross section at I - 2 min.

o ,_ • Significant velocity shear _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 2

> > o_ * Spectrum width value of 15.5 m/s o b_ b_ _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 2 Conclusions

> > • Aircraft entered line of convection induced by front/trough • Reflectivity values in area of 27 - 39 dBZ • Small but significant velocity shear of 30 m/s present • Spectrum width indications of severe turbulence • Upset likely caused by penetration of boundary between line of convection (rising air) and dry slot (sinking air) _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 3 (NTSB)

z > > • Near Cross City, FL o o • IMC at cruise altitude of FL330 ho • One second of moderate turbulence • Max G: +1,75, -0,28 • One FA seriously injured, two FA and one pax - minor injuries

Case Study 3

> > • Sfc chart at I - 44 minutes o o b_ • Stationary front through area • High temps/dew points _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 3

> > • IR satellite image at I + lmin b_ _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 3

> > • Level 5 thunderstorm just west of aircraft 1 min before upset o ho • Rapid motion to southeast _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 3

> > o_ • New thunderstorms at 1.5 minutes after upset to N and NE o ho • Confirmed by pilot _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 3

> > • Upper level shear noted in both major storms at I + 4 min.

o ,_ • Max shear of 16.5 knots bo _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 3 Conclusions

> > • Original level 5 thunderstorm produced outflow • Explosive secondary growth, especially at mid-levels • Level 6 thunderstorm in area likely produced upset _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 4 (NTSB)

> > • Max G" +2.5,-0.79 oo • Near Cape Girardeau, MO b_ • Two FA hurt, one seriously • Initial descent from FL230 • "Intense" turbulence for 30 sec

Case Study 4

> > • Sfc chart at I + 10 minutes o o b_ • Strong surface high over KS/MO • Fair weather in area b_

,c__ ?_ _._

' _ L_ _11T Lincoln Laboratory

Case Study 4

> > • Satellite images at I - 5 minutes o b_ _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 4

> > • 500 mb (18,000 ft) winds at I - 4 hours (250/55 kts) o o b_ 4_ _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 4

> > oo • NEXRAD data 1 minute after upset b_ • No significant returns _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 4 Conclusions

> > • Aircraft likely experienced severe CAT associated with jet stream and converging winds at altitude.

_11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 5 (FOQA)

> > • Near Houston, TX • Altitude: 7648 ft o ,_ ° • Heading 179.8 degrees • Auto Pilot: On/Off bo • Comp. airspeed: 232.0 kts • Max G: +1.74

Case Study 5

> >

L

• Sfc chart at I- 1 minute o o b_ • Large high off mid-Atlantic • Cold front exiting Rockies • Dry line in west Texas • No sig wx in airspace

_ejz.B, _- t_,8 ie_-=r...7_ -_

MIT Lincoln Laboratory

Case Study 5

> > o o • IR satellite images taken at I- 16 minutes b_ 4_ _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 5

Z • Upper air charts at 850 and 700 mb at I - 3 hours w • Vertical profile at I - 3 hours (LCH) .....

O bo G_ o M_T Lincoln L_bor_tory

Case Study 5

> > • NEXRAD data at I + 1 minute o o • Normal clear air returns b_ _11TLincoln Laboratory

Case Study 5 Conclusions

> > • Deep convection / thunderstorms ruled out • Aircraft heading directly into warm / moist southerly flow At or just above cloud deck bo Possible wind surge not detectable in radar data _11TLincoln Laboratory

Overall Conclusions

> > • Wide range of causes for in-flight turbulence from convection to the jet stream • Upsets can be captured by DFDR data but explanations may remain elusive • High resolution data can assist in determining cause in many instances • Pilots should continue to adhere to well known thunderstorm and CAT avoidance rules-of-thumb.

_11TLincoln Laboratory

Future Work

> > b_ • Automated turbulence detection needs to integrate: - ground and airborne radar - thermodynamic and wind profiles - satellite data • Systems to warn of turbulence using airborne radars need to use winds aloft information to determine region of hazard "down wind" of convective cells (Case 1) _11TLincoln Laboratory

Future Work

> > o o b_ • Fast update information sensors/systems needed to avoid rapidly developing convective cells (Case 3) - ASR9 and ARSR4 (Corridor Integrated Weather System) - High update rate convective initiation forecasts Convective forecast algorithms can facilitate convective turbulence avoidance - Terminal Convective Weather Forecast (TCWF) - Regional Convective Weather Forecast (RCWF) - National Convective Weather Forecast (NCWF) _11TLincoln Laboratory Z >

Weather Associated with

the Fall-2000

>

Tests

Turbulence Flight

o o Fo

David W. Hamilton and Fred H. Proctor

NASA Langley Research Center c_ Hampton Virginia Session: Airborne Turbulence Warning System Weather Accident Prevention Annual Project Review 5-7 June 2001, Cleveland, Ohio Z > >

Outline

o o bo

. introduction

. Flight Experiments

- Equipment for turbulence detection

- Flight requirements

- Flight preparations

, Turbulence Metrics

. Research

Flights

, Summary

Z >

Turbulence Threat

> o o ho o

Sudden, unexpected encounters with

turbulence, usually lasting 10-30 seconds,

have led to frequent injuries aboard

commercial aircraft

®

A recent study of 44 turbulence

encounters resulting in injuries:

- 82% were found to be near or within

convective activity

- Mountain wave (2%), CAT (16%)

Z >

Flight Experiments

> o

• NASA-Langley's ARIES B-757 flew into

o Fo

regions favorable for convectiveiy-

:::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: ......... .:__

induced tu bulence ,,,,_,,,,,,,,,,,,,,_

- in situ sensors measure wind, temperature and

acceleration

- Onboard Doppler radar for forward turbulence

detection

O

Data collected for events ranging from

smooth air to severe turbulence

Z >

Flight Requirements

> ® o

o Flight days were chosen based on

Fo

likelihood of convectiveiy-induced

turbulence within flight range of NASA

Langley

- Test days limited by availability of B=757

o o Altitudes of interest:

between 18,000 and

40,000 ft

o

Direct penetration into regions with

Level 3 radar reflectivity were avoided

Z Flight Preparations

> > o

Meteorology team at NASA-Langley

o o Fo

prepared: 2-day, 1-day, and day-of

forecasts in support of flight tests

- Brief researchers

- Brief pilots for flight planning

o Products Used: - NCEP models, i.e. RUC, ETA, etc.

- NC State's operational m.esoscale model

- Airmets, Pireps, NCAR's [1TA

- Satellite and Radar

o

Meteorologist on board provided

guidance into turbulent regions

Z

Turbulence Metrics

> > o ® o Quantification of in situ turbulence: Fo

- Root mean square of normal load

acceleration: %.

- Eddy dissipation rate: e 1/a

t_ o

Defined

a significant turbulence event as:

%. > 0.15

moderate

severe

Z >

The Flight Experiments

> o o bo

® R-181, November 16, 2000

® most events having levels below

threshold for moderate turbulence

® R-190, December 13, 2000

® severe turbulence; similar to NTSB

accident accounts

® R-191, December 14, 2000

® strongest encounter of the season; encounters with storm tops.

Z >

R 181 - Nov 16, 2000

> o o O

Mississippi-Louisiana Gulf Coast region

ho

favorable for convective turbulence

O

Broad overrunning of rain with embedded

convective ceils

- Peak storm top: 30,000 ft

- Cell movement: from west-southwest at 45 kts

® 3 significant turbulence events with peak

in situ measurement:

- _A. = 0.21

_ _1/3 = 0.25

21 UTC Surface Analysis

Z > >

Nov 16, 2000

o o Fo /j

Flight Path

Z > > o o Fo c_

Reported

Z > > o o Fo ;iii!!!ii _!i!!!ii :iiiiii_i

181 - Path with Nowrad

Flight

Z > > o o Fo c_ Z > > o o b0

181-4

_Hliiiiiiii_iiiiiiiil

R- 190 December 13, 2000

Z > > O

Along Gulf Coast; convective turbulence

o o

experienced in Central Mississippi and NE

Fo

Louisiana

O

Broad overrunning area of rain and

convective cells with embedded

o

thunderstorms

- Peak storm tops: 43,000 ft

- Cell movement: from southwest at 65 kts

O events with

peak

2 significant turbulence

in situ measurement:

- _A. = 0.35

_ _1/3 = 0.47

18 UTC Surface Analysis

Z > >

Dec 13, 2000

o o Fo Z > > o o Fo Fo

Flight 190 Dec. 13, 2000

Path with Satellite

Z Flight 19O -

> > o o Fo

Convection

Z Edge of

> > o o Fo Z > >

o 190-4

o L_ Z > >

190-6 2

o o Fo

190-6.1

c_ Z

R- 191

>

December 14, 2000

> o o Fo O S Georgia and N Florida Panhandle;

severe turbulence experienced near

Tallahassee, FI and Valdosta, Ga

O

Narrow line of convective ceils

_j

- Peak storm tops: 39,000 ft (11.8 kin)

- Cell movement: from southwest at 40 kts

® 2 significant turbulence events with peak

in situ measurement:

18 UTC Surface Analysis

Z > >

Dec

L

o o FJ Z o o b_

191 - Path with Nowrad

Flight

Z > > o o Fo o Z > >

On to Convective Line

Approach

o

o (viewed from northwest)

ho Z > > o o ho

191-3

ho Z > >

191-6

o o Fo Peak In Situ Peak Vertical i Horizontal i Peak i Altitude Turbulence Wind (m/s) Scale/ Radar Reflectivity Event (MSL) E1/3 *from 20 Hz data Duration (along (k ft) aA" (m2/3/s) Max Min of Event flight path)

7 km / NA

0.21 0.25 4 m/s -4 m/s 33 sec

6 km / 27

6m/s i -lm/s

0.18

30 sec dBz

0.16

181-8

7km/

11 m/s -6m/s

dBz

0.45

0.35 32 sec

190-6

Z > >

TASS Simulation

IO0 m

o o ho Correlation of Peak Load With Peak RMS Load ( 5 sec. window) Z > Based on Measurements for 34 Turbulence Encounter Cases > 3.0 y = 7.6084e-2 + 2.6193x RA2 = 0.958 o o ho 2.5 DATA SOURCES O 18 NASA Events 2.0 10 NTSB Accidents Peak l n l • 6 FOQA Incidents 191 - 06 g's ch 1.5 1.0 0.5 moderate severe extreme 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 RLB Peak RMS n g's Z

SUMMARY

> > ®

3 flight experiments into regions favorable

o o ho

for convectively-induced turbulence

- most events lasting ~30 seconds

- 3 severe turbulence encounters

(based on _,.)

- all severe events appeared discrete-like,

of

although bathed in a continuous spectrum

turbulence.

- all turbulence events associated with radar

reflectivities < 35 dBz

Z

SUMMARY (cont.)

> > o o O

R-190 similar to NTSB

accident accounts; ho

- severe encounter occurred on

periphery of

large storm

- encounter associated with weak radar

c_

reflectivity (< 22 dBz)

, R-191 being modeled with LES

Z > >

FUTURE FLIGHT PLANS

o o bo

• Colorado- late Aug to early Sept

• Langley- late Sept to early Oct

Z >

Numerical Simulation of Event 191-6 of

> o o

NASA's Flight Tests

Fo

H. Proctor and David W. Hamilton

Fred

NASA Langley Research Center

L,h Hampton Virginia Session: Airborne Turbulence Warning System Weather Accident Prevention Annual Project Review 5-7 June 2001, Cleveland, Ohio

Z Outline

> >

,introduction

o o bo

Event

• Description of Turbulence

•TASS Model

• initial Conditions

• Results from Model Simulation

,Summary

introduction

Z > >

• Numerical Simulation of Event 191=6

o o Fo

• Severe Turbulence Encountered by NASA

Langley B-757 during Event 191-6

• Occurred as B-757 Penetrated Updraft Plumes

Near Storm Top

Fo • Data Available for Model Validation

- Ground Based Radar (i.e. Nexrad)

- Satellite

- NASA B-757

• In Situ Winds and Accelerations • Onboard Doppler Radar • Eyewitness Accounts Z >

R - 191-6

December 14, 2000

> o o Fo

Severe turbulence encountered ~40 km NE

of Tallahassee FL (TLH)

O

Narrow line of convective cells

L,h

- Peak storm tops: 39,000 ft (11.8 kin)

- Cell movement: from southwest at 40 kts

® 2 significant turbulence events with peak

in situ measurement:

1 km Visible Satellite

Z > >

845 Z December 14, 2000

o o Fo

MODELING ROADMAP

Z > > O

Step 1: Derive initial sounding based on

o o mesoscale model prediction; configure domain; ho

retrieve and prepare observed data for case

verification=

O

Step 2: Coarse-grid simulation: should capture

large scale characteristics of storm: 125x125xT0

grid points with horizontal grid size of 200 rn

Step 3: Fine-grid simulation: 250x250x150 grid

points, with grid size of 100 m

O

Step 4: Nested grid simulation

® 5 km region near cloud top

® Minimum grid size less than 25 m.

® Validate results

TERMINAL AREA SiMULATiON SYSTEM (TASS)

Z > > o

3-D Large Eddy Simulation (LES) Model

o o

Meteorological Framework

o Fo @ Prognostic Equations for:

- Pressure

- 3-Components of velocity

- Rain

- Potential Temperature

- Snow

- Water Vapor

- Liquid Cloud Droplets - Hail/graupel

c_

- Dust/insects/tracers

- Cloud ice Crystals

• 1st-order subgrid turbulence closure with

Richardson-number dependency

® Surface friction layer based on Monin-Obukhov

similarity theory

® Cloud microphysics

TASS-- History

Z > >

Development began in 1983 for NASA/FAA Windshear

Program

o o Fo

Recently applied in NASA's Wake Vortex Program for

improving airport capacity (i.e. AVOSS)

Generation of data sets for Windshear Sensor

Certification

Supported NTSB investigation of 1994 Charlotte and

L,h

1999 Little Rock Aircraft Accidents

_J Simulations Applied to:

- Cumulonimbus Convection

- Tornadic Storms & Supercell Hailstorms

- Microbursts & Microburst Producing Storms

- Reconstruction of Microburst Windshear Encounters

- Aircraft Wake Vortices

- Atmospheric Boundary Layer

- Flight Turbulence

R-191-6, 14 Dec 2000, Near Tallahassee FL

>

TASS Domain Confi uration

° P sical Domain size

° hy

ho

® Horizontal (X, Y): 25 x 25 km

• Vertical (Z): 14 km

Domain orientation and lateral boundary conditions

• Domain rotated 66 °clockwise: - X- coordinate orthogonal to convective line - Y- coordinate along line Lateral BC: - Periodic boundary at Y= {0, X_}, - Open at X= {0, Y_}

Computational resolution

- Horizontal - 100 In (251 x 251 grid points); can resolve horizontal scales down to 400-200 rn - Vertical - 100 m, stretched grid at Z<2100 rn with grid size decreasing to 50 m at Z=0 (148 levels)

TASS Domain

Configuration

Z > > o o Fo Z >

TASS Simulation of Event 191-6, 14 Dec 2000

> o o Fo

TASS in ut Data

Input Sounding

• Environmental winds, temperature, dewpoint, & pressure

° From MASS 6-kin forecast at time & location near event

o

• Boundary layer temperature & moisture from TLH

observation

Convection initiated at model time zero

Spheroidal thermal impulse

- Peak amplitude 2.0 ° C

- Dimensions - 4 km horizontal × 2.1 km vertical

Z MASS TLH sounding

> > o o Fo Z >

TASS

> Simulation of Event 191-6, o

14 Dec 2000

o Fo

Simulated Storm Characteristics

® Near solid line of convection

• Overshooting tops to 11.5 km (38,000 ft)

FO

• Cell motion: 19 re s(37 kts)

® Moderate rainfall at surface (no hail)

• Persistent multi-cell type convection

• Turbulence associated with storm tops

• Cloud top rise rates about 10 - 12 m/s (30-40 ft/s)

Table 3. Model Comparison

> 0'3 > o o bo

Peak Storm Tops 11.5 km 11.8 km

r _l_i_ nd _5_ , __

Peak Radar Reflectivity at z=9/on 38.9 dBz 40 dBz

CoIl _io. (t . ENE at 19 nYs . ENE at 17 rrYs

Width of Convective Line near

L.o 6knl 8knl

Ground Level (based on 20 dBz)

0.86 0.74

Peak Eddy Dissipation Rate (rrf'3/s)

*from 1 Hz in situ data

.... ii@ i

Radalr reflectivity near ground (dBz)

Z > > o o Fo

TASS

PPI Display From TLH Nexrad

(Horizontal Cross Section)

(1.4o tilt)

(major tick everySkm)___

Line

Upper-Altitude Structure of Convective

Z > > o o Fo

TASS

PPI Display From TLH Nexrad

(Horizontal Cross Section

(9.8 ° tilt)

at 9 km AGL) @

TASS Simulation of Convective Line

viewed from southeast

(cloudlprecipitation surfaces}

Radar reflectivity from onboard turbulence radar (dBz)

at -4 ° tilt. (Range rings every 4 kin)

Z > 0'3 > Frarr, e _3,i33! .........................................

_.ws- = :6z40#: (.see&)

L

o o bo "'g_i) _ 3300015 ...................... e#: ...... = 4_:s:o: --4 L. Britt

TASS radar reflectivity (dBz) at 9.3 km altitude

corresponding to time and location of echo in previous slide

>

(major ticks every 4 km)

o o ho Radar Reflectivity at T=47min and Z=9.3km Ng 34 4O 3o

_,,# 2e

_;__ _ 26 >- 24 D .... I .... It, ..... I .... I ....

-12 -8 _ 0 4 8 X

TASS radar reflectivity (dBz) at 10.3 km altitude

Z >

(major ticks every 4 kin)

> o o Vertical Velocity (every 2 ms 1) and bo Radar Reflectivity at t=49 min & z=10.3 km RRF J 4O >-

TASS Eddy Dissipation Rate to the 1/3 power (m2_3/s) at time

Z > and location corresponding to previous slide.

>

L

o o EDR 1_3 at T=49min and Z= 10.3 km bo o >- -8 -4 0 X m

Spectra" TASS Simumation of R-1 gl -6, :_=t 00

averaged over xoy pmane at z=i 0.3 km

Z 10 4 > > o o to -513 slope 1 10 10 2 _ (meters) Z o o b_ b_ Profile 2: Comparison of TASS with tn Situ Z > > 2O 25

L

o o 15 2O bo Fq g_ "I0 ,> E ®

5 _

0 e -5 N

Y

-10 -5 '_ _ ....

-15 -t0 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 Distance (km) _TASS W 48 rain, z=10.3 km ............... TASS RRF 48 min, z=10.3 km --100 m mov. avg (W (191-6 I=1 Situ)) Profile 3: Comparison of TASS with In Situ Z > q4 35 > q£ 30 o / 7iS'i o qO 25 N Fo GS s_ 8 20 v

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Summary

o o bo

• Observed Large..Scale Features Captured by

100 m Simulation, Although Details of Storm

Structure Differ from Measurements

• Turbulence Associated with Buoyant Plumes in

Upper-Levels of Storm

• Turbulence and Strong Vertical Velocity may

Occur within Weak Radar Reflectivity

• Downdraft Regions may Contain Weaker Radar

Reflectivity than Updraft Regions (at flight

level)

Z > >

Future/Ongoing Work

o o bo

• Finer Grid Resolution Needed to Capture

important Scales of Motion that Affect

Aircraft Normal Load Accelerations

c_

• Data Set from this Case Delivered to

NCAR for Addition of Small-Scale Karman

Turbulence

®

A Nested-Grid with Grid Size of 25 m to be

Applied in Future Simulation

Z Unbalanced Supergradient Flow: o o

Its Role in Organizing Severe

Turbulence in Both Convective

and Clear Air Case Studies

Michael L. Kaplan

North Carolina State University

Z ¢13

What is Supergradient Flow'?

o o

(Flow Which Exceeds Gradient

bo

Wind Balance)

(V **2/R) > (PGF+FV)

V=Horizontal Wind Velocity

R=Radius of Flow Curvature

PGF=Horizontal Pressure

Gradient Force

FV=Horizontal Coriolis Force

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Presentation Overview

o bo

• 44 Case Synoptic Observational Signal

• Clear/Convective Accident Synoptic Signal

• Simulated Mesoscale Supergradient Flow

• Mass Perturbation/Supergradient Imbalance

• Flanking/Trailing Microvortex Genesis

• Single Characterization/Forecasting Index

Z ¢13

Primary Observed Synoptic

o o bo

Signals in the 44 Case Studies

• 1. Immediate Upstream Curvature (98%)

(86%)

• 2. Convection < 100 km Away

(82%) • 3. Upward Vertical Motion

o

(80%) • 4. Absolute Vorticity < 10-4 S- 1

(77%)

• 5. Jet Entrance Region

• Indicates: Horizontally Changing Curvature

in Proximity to a MASS Perturbation in the

Entrance Region of 1 or More Jet Streams

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Simulations

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CGI Clear Air CTY Convective

12 km Hydrostatic 18 km Hydrostatic

6 km Hydrostatic 6 km Hydrostatic

L.O

2 km Nonhydrostatic 2 km Nonhydrostatic

Enhanced Vertical

Bogus Raob RH

500m 500m

Nonhydrostatic Nonhydrostatic

125m 125m

Nonhydrostatic Nonhydrostatic

60m Nonhydrostatic 60m Nonhydrostatic

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Single Characterization/Forecast

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Index

• Cross Product of DEL(M) and DEL(ZETA)

• DEL(M) - Gradient (CpT+GZ)

k_

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• PGF X DEL(ZETA) on Isentrope

• PGF Vector and Vortex Tube Intersect

Z

Summary of the Organization of

o o bo

the Turbulence Environment

Jet Streak Entrance Regions Merge In the

Presence of Curved Flow

• Deformation Zone Forms As Momentum

4_

Converges and Centrifugal Force Increases

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Supergradient Flow Confluence Zone

• MASS Perturbation (Moist Convection

/Frontogenesis) Modifies Along-Flow PGF

• (Y) Vortex Converges (Z) Vorticity=Hazard

>

Simulations of continuous and discrete

event turbulence

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Turbulence Lidar Development Status

Weather Accident Prevention (WxAP)

Annual Project Review

Ivan Clark

NASA Langley Research Center

Philip Gatt and Stephen Hannon

Coherent Technologies, Inc.

Cleveland, OH, Hilton South June 5-7, 2001

Overview

• Background information

• Technical accomplishments to date

- ground and flight test activities

• Plans

- flight test activities - algorithm development and performance simulation

Overview

Background information

• Technical accomplishments to date

- ground and flight test activities

• Plans

- flight test activities - algorithm development and performance simulation

General Principle of Infrared Doppler Radar (Lidar)

Turbulence Measurement

Pulse EnVelope (50-100 m) Turbulent , , '_ _ "lO Event ,, Pencii Beam +_-"_"'_ == \_ Width 10-20 cm _._.._._ ......... _ .........

Q.

/ "_ _ Relative wind induces _ r_.,.,-,-_ a Doppler frequency shift _¢__.I_'_ • in the backscattered light; .> this frequency shift is t_ detected by the sensor n, Distance or Time Ahead of Aircraft

Turbulence Product Development Team

Objective

• Develop a robust detection capability that spans

the full range of turbulence environments

Provide Timely Reliable Tactical Warning to: - Deviate, - Institute Cabin Safety Measures, and/or - Institute Mitigation Measures -- Provide Real-Time Alerts to AWIN Network

Complete Detection Capability Provided

through Dual Wavelength Radar

TDAM Objective: Develop a robust detection capability that spans the full range of turbulence environments - Convective Storms (within and as far as 40 miles away from visible clouds in clear air) - Jet Stream (at confluence of multiple streams and near boundaries) - Mountain Wave (upward propagating from disturbances near the surface) X-Band Radar 0 dBZ 10 dBZ 30 dBZ 50 dBZ Lidar units -100 dBp -80 da_ -60 da_ -40 da_ Reflectivity

Technology Readiness Development Needs

• Lidar needs are similar to those for microwave

radar and include: - definition and characterization of hazard - hazard algorithm for quantifying the threat - validated algorithm(s) for using the IR radar to detect, discriminate, and quantify the threat - simulation test case development - validated system performance with properly designed field tests

Detection Issues

• Detection/False Alert must consider the random nature

of turbulence

- multiple turbulence warning levels - multiple turbulence classes/types - viewing longitudinal velocity behavior and inferring the vertical

• Definition of errors required (not just Type I and Type II)

common issue none ht moderate severe for radar/lidar must minimize WARN scatter Lidar Observable CAUTION (Velocity Structure Function or Spectral Width) none light moderate severe Hazard Level (e.g., RMS g-loading)

Flight Testing" Objectives and Needs

• More flight hours at cruise altitudes

- identified as a major gap - measuring turbulence levels requires a large number of flight hours

• More flight hours in moderate or stronger turbulence

- mid-level altitudes with focus on convective (storm) and breaking wave turbulence - performance envelope for onboard radar and lidar

• Extended data sets for aerosol/turbulence correlation

modeling

• Scanning versus single line of sight configuration

- scanning will enable better characterization of turbulent events - more direct comparison with radar for joint tests - include a mixture of both modes Program Assets and Resources: Government Agency and Industry AFRL System for Precision Air Drop NASA/ACLAIM System CTI/ARO MAG-1 Transceiver (future) ..... Controi Electronics Signal Processor

Overview

• Background information

Technica_ accomplishments to date

...... ground a_sd flight test activities

• Plans

- flight test activities - algorithm development and performance simulation

TDAM 1998 Accomplishments: Lidar

• Juneau lidar deployment

- characterization of low altitude wind shear and turbulence - generated validated data sets to support development of lidar turbulence and wind shear detection algorithms

• ACLAIM/Electra flights

- Detected light to moderate turbulence at ranges between 3 and 6 miles ahead - Penetrated turbulence to verify - Operated 15 hours in a variety of conditions from ground to 25kft

Sample Doppler Spectrum from ACLAIM/Electra

Isolated moderate to severe turbulence )atch ahead turbulence and later penetrated it for confirmation

B-720 Compact Lidar Flight Tests

• Collected lidar data to demonstrate CAT IR product capability at cruise altitudes - data consistent with performance model predictions - justified parametric system scaling for compact next-generation system • Flights aboard Honeywell-owned B-720 • Conducted October, 2000 - focus on cruise altitude operation - no significant turbulence encountered

Overview

• Background information

• Technical accomplishments to date

- ground and flight test activities

P_ans

......flight test activities ......a_gorithm development and performance simulation

FY01/02 Lidar Flight Tests

• DC-8 flight tests

- lidar operates in a piggy-back fashion - joint data for post-flight correlation with - in-situ - aerosol particle measurements support lidar performance scaling and algorithm development efforts

• B-757 flight tests

- joint with other WxAP tests - primarily focus on convective turbulence - joint data for post-flight correlation with - in-situ - radar measurements - support lidar performance scaling and algorithm development efforts - investigate scan strategy tradeoffs

Transceiver Status

• AFRL hardware delivered in March 2000

- Specs after tune-up at CTI - 2.0125 _m wavelength - 9.3 mJ (out of telescope), 440 nsec pulse duration, 100 Hz PRF - 8 cm beam diameter, 10 cm aperture, internal telescope focused at 1.5-2.5 km - 20% small beam efficiency measured in June - horizontal path data show range performance to 10-12 km (Colorado data) Sample Data Collected for Horizontal Path In Colorado NASA/ACLAIM System 30 0 25 0 20 0 _ 150 Q: iAFRL z 100 Drop . ystem for Precision Air _ so _ oo ..... _ ...... (k8) 0

DC-8 Flight Test Status

• DC-8 volcanic ash encounter

- engine replacement required

• Initial flight window

(FY00) dropped

- Air-Sci program cancelled

• CAMEX DC-8 flights

scheduled for August-September

- piggyback status - ~100 flight hours total

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DC-8 Lidar Flight Test Status/Plans

• Forward-looking periscope installed at FS1015

• Integrated AFRL / NASA Lidar system undergoing

ground testing at LaRC

• Instrument upload scheduled for July

• Flights anticipated in August-September

- piggyback on CAMEX includes in-situ turbulence and aerosol • Research focused on: - cruise-condition flight data - correlation with atmospheric aerosols - correlation of wind shear measurements with other CAMEX measurements

B-757 LIDAR Instrument Layout

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B-757 LIDAR Instrument Layout

Station 2 Medium Profile Low Profile Equipment Rack Equipment Rack

B-757 Lidar Flight Test Status/Plans

• NASA Critical Design Review held in May 2001

• Design for forward-looking scanner installation

approved for FS450

• Integrated AFRL / NASA scanning Lidar system

undergoing ground testing at LaRC

• Flights anticipated in early CY02

- joint with Turbulence Radar and Turbulence In-Situ • Research focused on: - scanning effects and strategies - synergism with radar - convectively-induced turbulence

Lidar Algorithm Development Objective

• Develop reliable detection and discrimination

algorithms for Doppler lidar prediction of

turbulence hazard

- exploit understanding of unique aspects of lidar phenomenology - incorporate common aspects of radar developments Lidar Algorithm and Simulation:

FY00-02 Approach and Plans

- Maintain synergy with radar algorithm development - Establish SNR requirements and averaging/resolution/performance trades for spectral width and structure function algorithms - Establish link to hazard metric algorithm(s) - Incorporate test cases in more sophisticated simulation - Test on additional data sets (joint lidar/radar test data) - Produce more robust performance predictions and feed back into algorithm development - false alarm mitigation System Resp Funct p(t-2R/c) /_ / _._ ..,,," "_. _ LOSi .,,_," _ ,,,_ Input Radial Wind Lidar Algorithm Development and Simulation:

FY01/02 Activities

• Focus on single line of sight algorithms/analyses and leverage existing tools • Pursue structure function and spectral-width-based algorithms - small SNR reqime: long range (longer warning times) - large SNR reqime: correlation of vertical loading with longitudinal observations - investigate scan strategy impacts • Develop preliminary performance predictions based on combination of simulated and flight test data

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Truth metrics initially limited (simulation using 2DOF a/c) S(v; x,y,z); s, Lo, VSF, w Lidar Algorithm Development and Simulation:

Leveraging

Range [m] • CIRES/NCAR: o_ 4 _o 50 lOO 15o 200 250 300 ._ l.U , , , , I , , , , I , , , , I , , , , I , , , , I , , , , - Space Lidar for NASA (SPARCLE)

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• Synergy with radar

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• Results in cost-effective

development with near-term

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Lidar Summary

• Emphasis areas - flight testing - algorithm development and associated performance analyses • Flight tests accomplished CY99-00 - NASAACLAIM Electra flights - industry-funded B-720 flights • Flight tests planned for late CY01, early CY02 - DC-8 flights planned for August-September, piggy-back on CAMEX - B-757 flights in early CY02, joint with Turbulence Radar and In-Situ • Algorithm work highly leveraged - NCAR and CTI developments - synergy with radar work (NCAR & RTI) • Parallel industry program to develop a clear air turbulence product - focus is on cost reduction and reliability improvement

Turbulence Lidar Development Status

Reference Foils

SUPPOR TED MILES TONES (Through FY 02 only; Excludes WINCOMM) Initial AWIN Concept and Flight Demonstration of National AWIN WxAP Level II Forward-Looking Turbulence Forward-Looking Turbulence Capability Detection Flight Evaluation Warning System FY O0 FY 01

I

Software Demonstration

AWIN /

Prototype Concept Weather Products and Initial AWIN Concept Flight Tests of National Sensor Selection Level III Flight Evaluation AWIN Capability Detection System Turbulence Flight Test with AWIN Flight Demo of Demonstrate Level III Turbulence Detection -- Turbulence Detection Concept System

Turbulence In-Situ /

Algorithm In-Situ Algorithm Concepts J Enhanced In-Situ Algorithm Flight -- Demonstration Flight Evaluation Demo (uncoupled from A WIN) (L-IV milestone) (L-IV milestone)

Background

• Turbulence Initiators

Convective Storms (within and as far as 40 miles away from visible clouds in clear air) Jet Stream (at confluence of multiple streams and near boundaries) Mountain Wave (upward propagating from disturbances near the surface) Localized "events" Nike these are extremely dif_fiauit to reliably forecast

Demonstration of Lidar Turbulence Detection

> Good Correlation with Onboard Data out to 40 sec Lag (Flight 2) Eddy Diss Rate: Sep=270m @5068m 0.25 , , 6_, Lidar -- W-vel .... Accel 3E

2_

On" 0,00 5 10 15 5 10 Time (min) Time (min) Time Evolution, Beam Pointir_g J{tter (AIC Pitch) Ca_ Reduce Accuracy for Long Lags

Background: Demonstration of Lidar Turbulence Detection

Good Correlation with Onboard Data (Flight 2) Sep=443m cent @1333m Eddy Diss Rate: Sep=443m @1333m 10.00 , , , .... , , , ,'''" 6_- 0.50 Correl=0.83 _A -- Lidar E Slope=0.45 /V_ -- W-vel 5_ 0.40 Intercept=-0.44 / .... Accel > "c P 1.00 g oO_

Ill

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0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 0.01 0.10 1.00 10.00 100.00 Time (min) Sqrt(VSF) (m/s) Correl (a-w)=0.82 (0.89 linear) Lidar File=d :\r asppr d_electr a\d3261702.prd.los Lidar File=d:_rasppr d_elecb'a\d3261702, rd.los NavFile=d:\ras prd_elecka_nav_802rf02 1646 1717.asc NavFile=d:\rasppr d_electra\nav_802r fo_P 1646 1717.asc StartTime=171bP:05, EndTime=1717:00 _ntegWidth= 5.0sec StartTime=1715:05, EndTime=1717:00 [ntegWidth= 5.0sec I Correlation of 1.3 km lagged structure function about as good as that between rms acceleration and rms vertical velocity

Weather Acddent Prevention

Second Annual Review

June 5-7, 2001

Phil Schafther Turbulence Radar Principal Investigator Sensors Research Branch NASA Langley Research Center Hampton, VA 23681-2199 (757) 864-1809 E-mail: P.R.Schafther @ LaRC.NASA.gov o o [,o

• Introduction

• Flight Configuration

• Flight Operations Summary

o

• Event Summary

• Data Report and Analyses by Flight

• Flight Test Summary

• CY01 Flight Plans

__1__ __1__ I

__1__ __1__

Weathe_ _ rAviation System" Monitoring & AcCident

| Acoide,t ! | Acoide,t !

Prevention

Modeling lo,,,oo,,OOllV,o,o

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2i4 Level 2- Projects

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r

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Information Communication (AWlN) (WlNCOMM) 2.4.1 2,4,2 Aviation Weather [ Weather Information Paul Stough (LaRC) Gus Martzaklis (GRC) Level 3- Elements b_ _Se_sor Pertbrmance Assessme[_t _Sensor Development _A]_oi@m Developmem: _I_}emonstmtion & Ve_i_catkm

WxAP Objective #3

Provide commercial aircraft sensor with 90% probability

of detection of severe Convective and Clear Air

Turbulence thirty seconds to two minutes before

encounter.

WxAP Milestone #2

Flight demonstrate certifiable forward-looking on-board

turbulence warning system with Type-I and Type-II error

probability commensurate with airborne wind shear

technology. [TRL/IRL of 7/4]

Goal for NASA/FAA/Industry

Advance warning of_ 30 sec. with POD _ 80% for

phenomena with reflectivity _ 15 dBz.

oo • Weather Support

bo - Forecasting and pre-flight recommendations • 2-, 1-, and day of operation forecasts - Pilot briefings - Onboard tactical recommendations - Real-time observations

• In Situ

- Data Collection - Real-time engineering displays - Post-flight processing

• Turbulence Radar

- Data collection - Real-time engineering displays - Aircraft response algorithms - Post-flight processing Design Layout As Built Flat Panel Display Alternating Antenna Sweeps: Std. WX/WS Research Mode L_ i i I i RADAR Processing Recorded Information Computer Radar Configuration/Control (RS-232) -- -- A/(? Sl_e Pararaeters (Sx_A[_]NC 429)) --_ RADAR Recording Computer PALLET PWR DIST A/C State Parameters POWER SUB PANEL (4x(ARINC 429))

II

• Includes time-domain interference-rejection filter

• Frequency/Doppler-velocity domain spectral width

estimation

• Optional averaging over range and/or azimuth

• Estimates turbulence correlation length

"-3

• Thresholding using CFAR (constant false alarm rate)

threshold calculated from the spectra

• Estimates point variance from spectral width and bin-to-

bin variance of average velocity

• Uses Hazard Tables to predict RMS accelerations from

point variance

• The NCAR Efficient Spectral Processing Algorithm

(NESPA) is a multi-stage approach to finding high-quality

Doppler moments in real-time.

• Data quality is improved by averaging the spectra over

multiple azimuths and ranges.

• Hazard metrics are produced by scaling the second

moment estimates using tables and combining the results

from three elevation angles.

• Confidence measures based on many different indicators

(e.g. SNR, continuity, etc.) of data quality are used in the

multi-stage processing and are also used in the calculation

of the hazard metrics.

Relate radar estimates of spectral width or

point variance to predicted variance of

P.

aircraft accelerations

Key part of system to go from radar data

processing algorithm output to aircraft

effects

o

Goal: Advance warning of > 30 sec. with POD > 80%

for phenomena with reflectivity > 15 dBz.

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>z _ Correlation of Peak Load With Peak RMS Load ( 5 sec. window) 3.0 y_= 7.6084e-2 + 2.6193x R^2 =i 0.958 o o bo 2,5 DATA SOURCES O 18 NASA Events _ ........... !

2,0 10 NTSB Accidents Peak n l • 6 FOQA Incidents gs !191 - O_ bo 1,5 1,0 0,5 woderate i severe !extreme 0,0 0,0 0,1 0,2 0,3 0,4 0,5 0,6 0,7 0,8 0,9 1,0 Peak RMS n g's R,B Based on Measurements for 34 Turbulence Encounter Cases

• Checkout/ferry flights (154, 155, 169)

• 3 Data flights

- 181: 3 to 4 very low reflectivity encounters

with light turbulence

- 190 & 191: low reflectivity encounters with

light to severe turbulence

• 18 in situ events identified from data flights

• 7 events selected for detailed radar analysis

/ I---,, _j _::_I'_I _ I _ _"_"_.,,"}"]% I"\. _ _"I"_ " _ I

[

i

In S itu _A,n NESPA Baseline Hazard

Flight-event

181-07 0.15 < 0.2 > 0.2

light

181-08 0.16 < 0.2 0.32

licht

190-04 0.28 < 0.2 < 0.27 mo d e rate

190-06 O_£& 0,35 <0,2 0,3 severe

i91-03 0_34 0_2 0,32 severe

191-04 0.14 < 0.2

low reflectivity light

191-06 0 °44 0.32 near 0_4

severe Flight/Day Weather Primary Peak Storm Cell Movement Region of Tops (from) Interest Broad Area of Rain with Southern Fl- 181 30,000 WSW at 45 kts 16 Nov 2000 Embedded Convective Mississippi & feet Cells Louisiana Broad Area of Rain and FI -190 Northeast Convective Cells with 43,000 feet SW at 65 kts 13 Dec 2000 Louisiana Embedded Thunderstorms Narrow Line of Florida FI -191 Convective Panhandle & 40,000 feet SW at 40 kts 14 Dec 2000 Cells/Thunderstorms South Georgia .................................................. z ..................................................................................... < ....................................................... z ............................................... z ............................................................................ : Z o o b_ 200 250 3oo 100 i50 o 68080 sec. 68170 sec.

:(0 :50 J:O0 150 :200 250: 300 Time (:s)

18:45:21 or 67521 seconds

t_ 23.

_0.

18:55:30 or 68130 seconds

0.4 b_ 0.2 0.0 Flight 1 S0-06, 12-13-2000 18:55:20. Tilt: -q.O 18 0.4 1C_ m,ts 16. ...... • ...... ......................... ........ ,-..

0.35 14 ...... :........

13,3 o W 0.25 2 I%1 T 0.Z ._...

o15 N

N t-d 0,1 rr 0.05 13 Z 4 6 6 113 17 14 16 16 Kilometers (E£st- West) - Radsr Source at Origin

18:56:05 or 68165 seconds

0.4 4_ 0.2 0.0 Flight 180-OG, 12I _3-200D 18:55:55 Till: -4,0 0.4 0_;)6 0._ c:, 0.E_ ,z 2.

T 0.2 31- 0.15 C_ 0.1 T 0.05 13 r 4 6 8 10 12 lzl 16 18 Kilometers (East-Wes})- Radar SoL_rce al Oriq n ..*....,,_ R._" R._ R£

£

o o

s

• Little reflectivity within scan range

• In situ peak rms g ~ 0.33 at 68170 seconds

•Missed prediction of in situ peak

•Detection of ~0.35 g 5 km (20 seconds) ahead at

68177 seconds where in situ shows ~0.25

•Many areas >0.3 off track

1.5 o o 0 20 40 60 80 100 i20 o 66470 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Time (s) 0.4 0.2 0.0 Flight 191-03, 12-14-2000 18:25:59, Tilt: -'2.0 O b_ O O b_ bo -16 -14 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -Z 0 Z Kilometers lEast-West) - Radar Source at Origin _,_:_:_:::::::::: ! : : : : : : i : :::::::::::::::_ 8 0.85 8.1 0.1 5 8_2 13.25 0.3 0.35 8_4.

RMS Aircraf[ Vertical Acceleratien (g) - Temporal Window: 5 seconds

18:27:09 or 66429 seconds

o o b_ 0.4 4_ 0.2 0.0 o o bo .£ L*h o

•Good reflectivity on port side near path, low

reflectivity along path at beginning of run

• In situ peak rms g ~ 0.33 at 66470 seconds

•Predictions of > 0.32 g along path at 66429 9.5

km (44 seconds) ahead

•Multiple hits on successive scans down to ~ 5

km

Q 50 100 150 200 250 67458 sec.

0 50 100 150 200 250 Time (s)

18:43:22 or 67402 seconds

o o b_

Flight 191-06, 12-14-2000 18:43:24, Tilt:-2.0

0.4

b_ O O

0.35 .u_

b_ 14

,L_ i- -_ 12 0.3 _: O ¢J3 t+,,...

0.25 _

¢- N C6 0 8 "1- z

0.2 -_

...........

0.15 "--

!1) D

E

0.1 '-

-2

0 Z 4 6 8 10 lZ 14 16 18

KJlorneters (East-West) - Radar Source at Origin

18:43:46 or 67426 seconds

0.4 o 0.2 0.0

Flight 191-06, 12-14-2000 16:43:36, Tilt:-2.0

0.4 _J o o _J 0.35 ._u _t

0.3

"0 0.25 = N "r"

0.:;' "o

0.15 "= ,E,t 0.1 "- 0 2: 4 6 8 10 12:14 16 18 b_

a_ .Two major "blobs" of reflectivity 25- 40 dBZ

• In situ peak rms g ~ 0.43 at 67458 seconds

• Prediction of ~ 0.4 g at 16km (63 seconds) ahead

bo at 67402 seconds

• Multiple detections until 67450 seconds

• I: Missed Detections/Alerts

False Detections/Nuisance Alerts

• II:

• Insufficient Data to Predict Performance

Performance Predictions Will Require

Modeling and Analysis

Unlikely to Acquire Sufficient Experimental

Data to Allow Statistical Analysis

In Situ Radar Low dBZ

5 4

Bumps

Nulls 3 3 1

• Use and method of averaging/filtering will be

_o

a key factor in detection and reduction of

false alarms

- Lack of averaging may cause over-alerting

- Averaging can reduce peak load estimates

• In Situ truth not available for large part of

data

- Validated models would enable more thorough

algorithm evaluation

- Modeling/simulation will support error analysis

- Lidar can provide comparison data

• S/W and H/W upgrades

• Flight objectives

- 40 events 0.2 g or better

- Vary radar pulse configuration

- Weather variety

- Sufficient reflectivity for radar detection

- Record I & Q and aircraft data

- Test detection algorithms in real time

- Research turbulence display for NASA

pilots

Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ b_ Z o o b_ Z ;> O'3 ;> Turbulence Accidents - NTSB Data (1983-99) o o bo 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 4_ Year Turbulence Accidents per Million Flight Hours- Part 121 Carriers 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Year :Z > 0'3 > o o bo Injuries per Turbulence Accident Trend + Serious rate] /_ L.h _ Min I I 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Year Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Importance of Decision Factors :Z ;> 0'3 ;> Aircraft damage - retrofit Aircraft damage - new aircraft o o bo uirement - retrofit ht requirement - new aircraft Reduced fuel costs - new aircraft Competitive advantage - retrofit Competitive advantage -new aircraft Late arrival / diversion - retrofit Late arrival / diversion - new aircraft injury -new aircraft attendant injury - retrofit - new aircraft Flight 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 Z > (/3 > o o Penetration Curve Estimates bo bo 0 5 10 15 20 Years in the Future

Z X Band Product Character:is t:ics

> >

L

Detect sorre forms of clear air turbulence o o bo Obtain FAA certification as a non-essential system Autorr_icaily gather aigorithmperforrrance datato enhance algorithmperforrrance Pequire rrinin'umpibt training Integrate ground based turbulence data into the coclq3it turbulence display $ Transrrit turbulence information to ground weather L.,a stations.

Transrrit turbulence data directly to other aircraft _ _ _ _ 3.3 Provide useful information during takeoff and descent fli_t operations and decision-rral4ng _ _orrration during en route flight operations and decision -rral4ng _ _ Part--weather awareness system _ _ily of software changes to the current eration of X band systems. _

:Z L)DAR Product Character istics

>

O,3 > o Detect some forms of convective turbulence o bo

s

Obtain FAA certification as a non-essential system Automatically gather algorithm performance data to enhance algorithm performance Require minimum pilot traning Integrate ground cockpit turbulence display $ Transmit turbulence information to ground weather stations.

Transmit turbulence data directly to other aircraft _ _ _ _ _ _ 3.0 Provide useful information during takeoff and descent flight operations and decision-making during en route flight operations and decision -making :egrated weather awareness system with ____._.stand-alone weather information system__1.4 Z_

Combined Product Characteristics

;> el3 ;> Obtain FAA certification as a non-essential system o bo tb Automatically gather algorithm performance data to enhance algorithm performance .£ __egra_e g Require minimum pi}ot traning round based turbulence data into the _o..C_t turbulence dis play Transmit turbulence information to ground w esther stations.

Transit turbulence data directly to other aircraft _ _ _ 3.2 Provide user ul information during takeoff and _ _ _ _ 3 7 descent fli, ------.__.

Pr eful information during en route flight _ operations and decision -making Part of an integr ated w esther awareness _ _ _ _ 3 7 with shared display and alarm system Be astand-alone turbulence system __ 2,0 Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ :Z ;> 0'3 ;> o o bo Severe Turbulence Detection Accuracy [] X band [] LIDAR [] Combined 100% - 95% - 90% - 85% - Less than 95% 90% 85% 80% 80% Detection Accuracy Interval Z o o b_ :Z ;> 0'3 ;>

"Feasibility Study of Transport-Aircraft Control

o o

Systems for Turbulence Effects Mitigation"

bo

Christopher J. Borland

Vincent M. Walton

"-4 L.O

The Boeing Company

Commercial Airplane Group

Seattle, WA

NASA Weather Accident Prevention Review

June 5-7, 2001

:Z ;> 0'3 ;> Study Objectives oo bo • Use turbulence inputs from injury-accident FDR data • Assess capability of current aircraft control systems to reduce "-4 turbulence-induced acceleration response in the cabin • Assess new control law strategies with current (on-board) and advanced (forward-looking) turbulence sensors • Identify key issues to practical implementation :Z ;> 0'3 ;> Analysis of Turbulence Accidents and Wind Field Determination o o bo NASA Ames provided FDR data from NTSB for five accidents (1975- 85).

• Boeing Accident/Incident Investigation Group provided FDR data for five accidents (1997-99).

Most of these data show some interesting similarities: L.h • Severe turbulence onset often gives little or no warning.

• Positive and negative spikes in acceleration, with negative excursions to below 0 q, lasting about 1-2 seconds.

• Duration of severe turbulence is often brief, 5-10 seconds.

:Z ;> 0'3 ;> Analysis of Turbulence Accidents and Wind Field Determination (cont'd) o o bo • FDR data can be used (sort of) to extract the wind field (Ref: Bach and Wingrove AIAA papers) • Alpha vane, Nz, e, air data using kinematics only • Nz, e, 5e using aero characteristics from A/C model "-4 O', • Peak velocities of over 140 ft/sec have been seen.

• Some time histories strongly suggest vortex encounters due to Kelvin- Helmholtz instabilities (shear layers from jet streams, thunderstorms, mountain waves).

Case B-1 - Nz (c.g.)

.... 1:99523 ..............................................................................................................................................................................

A/P - 757-200 Location: Boise In j/Fat: 22/0 Seat Belts: OFF 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 -0.5 -0.744868 Z > Case B-1 - Wz > o o bo .£ "-4 O0

20 1!'

_._"_'_ 40

-20 -40 -60 Z > Case B-2 - Nz (c.g.)

> 2 .............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................

o o 1.81195 bo 1.5

VI I w

&/P. 7/17.1NN 0.5 Loc: Pacific Ocean (NRT-HNL) Inj/Fat- 70+/1 o 1_9(_ t Beltl"_g'20ON 12_ 12 _30 12840 12850 1; 60 12870 12880 12890 12900 _30 -o.5 -0.827346

:Z

> [/3 Case B-2 - Wz >

L

80 .........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................

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Z

> (/3 > Case B-3 - Nz (c.g.)

o o 1.894 bo 1.5 J A/P - 747-200 Location: Atlantic 0.5 (FCO-CCS) In j/Fat - 26/0 Seat Belts: unk ;0 260 270 280 290 300 310 320 330 340 350 -0.5 -0.754 Z > > Case B-3 - Wz o o ho IO0 ho 280 290 -50 -1 O0 :Z ;> 0'3

Current aircraft systems and requirements

;> o • Turbulence Mitigation requires modification of the aircraft lift and pitching o bo moment through: • Direct lift control ; and / or • Pitch Control • Current non fly-by wire aircraft in the commercial fleet (737,747,757,767) have no direct lift control surfaces.

L.O • For this study, pitch control alone has been used. Current elevator rate and deflection limits (with nonlinear limiting) have been used to set requirements.

• Current autopilot modes do not effectively counteract severe turbulence.

• Autopilot actuator capabilities may be inadequate to provide mitigation.

Z ;> ;> Control System Development and Performance o o Study Assumptions: • Nonlinear aircraft model (757-200) with existing nonlinear actuators • Knowledge of the vertical gust profile ahead of the aircraft 4_ • Quasi-static elastic aircraft (no flexible mode dynamics) • Feed-forward controller design to avoid stability issues • Control law parameters varied for optimal performance • Direct input to control actuator (not currently available) Z

&

$ C_JLE YACTOJI_ & t_ _ AJflrrgAi',,T CE m I'WD LO ONING I_[RI_H 0LD FILTEI S]_ OR M0]gEL S ATUP._ION _TeR A C TILT&'KUR MODEL _ _IN TEM F.gVAL Z_- $1GN STAGE AJKP,.O IP_,TA3_ C &CTUATOR ]_oBEr INTERMEDIATE _ Sl _ S TA C_E AJKR 0 ]ffYNA3dZ C &CTUATOR MODEL _L]K_AT 0 R _ gWTJAL _SfGN STAGE CONTROL SYSTEM DESIGN MODEL Z ;> ;> o_ Sensitivity Studies o b_ Turbulence input sensitivity 13 Time histories used as input to 757-200 nonlinear simulation model, control performance assessed - 5 NTSB Cases - 3 Boeing Cases - 5 Vortex Cases Sensor sensitivity • Forward looking sensor compared with nose air data sensor for one case Z > > Case B-1 Nz-aft System Off vs On o 3.0 o Fo 2.5

2.0

A

1.5 il __._

_j 1.0 ............................... _ I ..........Nzaft-On 0.5 ,_ C,399 0.0 ::) 35 '40 45 50 55 (_ -0.5 V l

/

-1.0 -1.031 -1.5 time (sec) Z > > Case B-2 Nz-aft System Off vs On _ 2.5 -- Nzaft-Off ........... Nzaft-On 0.0 40 50 7O 8O 9O -0.5 -0.719 -1.0 time (sec) Z ;> 0'3 ;> Case B-3 Nz-aft System Off vs On o 2.0 o b_ 1.5 1.0 -- Nzaft-Off v 0.5 ........... Nzaft-On 0.0 1 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 -0.5 -0.788 -1 .o time (sec) :Z > 0'3 > Percent Peak Negative Nz Reduction (1.1sec look ahead)

L

100.00% o o Fo 80.00% 60.00% 40.00% o [] Nzaft(%) [] Nzcg(%) [] Nzps(%) 20.00% 0.00% -20.00% -40.00% Case No.

Z > (/3 > Aft Cabin Peak Negative Acceleration - System Off vs On 0,8 o o bo 0,6 0,4 0,2 "6 [] Nzaft(off) v -0,2 [] Nzaft(on) 1 -0,4 -0,6 -0,8 -1,2 Case No.

Z > > Forward Looking vs. Nose Air Data - System Off vs. On o 0.6 o bo 0.4 0.2 ,Iz(aft)

I iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii

bo -0.2 [] System Off [] Forward Looking BOnboard -0.4 -0.6 -0.8 -1.2 :Z ;> 0'3 Issues for Further Study ;> Aerodynamic Modeling Issues o o bo • Nonlinear simulation data has limited negative angle of attack range • Unsteady aerodynamics - angle of attack, control, gust lag functions • Gradual gust penetration - wing sweep, wing to tail lag • Stall Hysteresis - simulation is quasi-steady Structural Modeling • Dynamic Aeroservoelastic Model required for loads and flutter evaluation Actuator Modeling • "Physical model" required in place of "functional model" Air Data System Modeling • Need accurate measure of the "lead" for onboard air data Z ;> Issues (Cont'd) ;> Lidar Modeling and Accuracy o o • Current simulation assumes "perfect" measurement of vertical gust velocity • Lidar requires multiple off-axis measurements with spatial and temporal interpolation which will affect accuracy • Additional errors such as bias and noise will affect accuracy • Signal processing lags should be included • Base motion "jitter" can be determined from structural dynamic model, isolation and/or motion compensation should be included Multiple Flight Condition Modeling All simulation to date on single aircraft model at single flight condition.

Effects of variations in altitude, Mach, gross weight, c.g. should be determined Z ;> ;> Issues (Cont'd) o Autopilot/Manual Control Input Effects o • Current simulation models have no autopilot • Need autopilot model to separate autopilot and manual inputs • Need to assess whether autopilot and manual inputs make situation better or worse L,h • What is the effect of warning time on the pilot's reaction?

• What is the effect of various gust profiles on the pilot's reaction?

• How does the pilot react in the presence of a turbulence mitigation system?

• What do we show the pilot?

• These should be answered by a real-time simulation study.

:Z ;> Issues (Cont'd) ;> Control System Development Issues o o • Redundancy Management • Control Augmentation (SAS) • Multiple Sensor Control • Line of Sight Command for Maneuvering Aircraft • Ride Quality vs Safety Requirements • Gust Spectral Content Filtering • Alternate Control Law Development Schemes • New PCU Input vs Existing Autopilot Actuators (Autoland Mode) • Direct Lift Control Z ;> Recommendations for Further Work ;> Continue Modeling Improvements (aerodynamic, structural, sensor, control) o o Evaluate Structural Load and Autopilot Effects Continue Control Development Studies Select Candidate Aircraft for Demonstration Determine Forward Looking Sensor Accuracy by Flight Test Perform Real-Time Simulation Design and Installation of Required Aircraft System Modifications • Sensors • Computer • Actuators Flight Demonstration Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ >

project Bevie_

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D_Ro o[antonioi gency Coo ion r

Co_te_t

> >

* Pros for Inter-Agency Collaborations

Pltfa||smInter_Ngeney C ol|aboratlons

Progress to Date

Summary ......................................................

° Cost and/or risk sharing

- Gaining influence of stakeholders

, Information shadng/beneh_arking

_ , Standard Setting

ad i g A _ _ g e _ e n ts i T_o o _ o_g a iz s

exchanging dissimilar (but _utually valued) resources

- Developing synergy through complementary

ce_petencies

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NASA-FAAPartnership

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FA A w 1 3ol n i1 de el op _he fo_ ow _n p od ue

A _a_of_ _ ca[he_ el oduc

i iiii

a_d Eookmg Hazard Sensors

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Summary

an d dir ee t io n

. e Urr en {N A S A i FAA an d N {)AA col 1ab o r ati on a e t iVi_ie s

goi n g w e

q

, In {e_ ag eric y im p lemen{ a_io n ag_eeme n_s in pl o gr e ss m war d

co llabo_a_on } acm_'_'._t_es into agenc_ progl am pl an s_

Z > >

Flight Information Services Data

o o

c_

Alfred Moosakhanian

NASA Weather Accident Prevention

Project Review

June 7, 2001 :Z > 0'3 >

FIS Policy Implementation

o o bo

÷ FAA published Airborne FIS Policy Statement based on

industry petition through the GA Coalition

+ FAA signed Government-Industry Project Performance

Agreements (G-IPPAs) with two FISDL Service Providers

ARNAV Systems, Inc; Puyallup, WA > Honeywell International, Inc; Olathe, KS Z > >

FISDL Oven"view

o o b0 o Z >

> FISDL Cockpit Display

o o ho :Z ;> 0'3 ;>

Unique G-IPPA Provisions

o ÷ Competitive strategy with two FISDL Service Providers

o bo

designed to use "market pressure" to stimulate and

control quality and cost of FISDL services

5- No system

specifications; rather based on: > FAA Statement of Objectives, and bo > SOW submitted by ARNAV and Honeywell

÷ FAA provides access to 4 VHF channels (136 MHz

"protected" spectrum)

÷ ARNAV and Honeywell each provide independent

system infrastructure and service at no cost to FAA

;>

Key Provisions: FAA Comm/tments

÷ Five year agreement with opportunity for renewal bo > Access to 4 VHF channels (136 MHz "protected" spectrum) with spectrum engineering support > Access to FIS/Wx data within FAA systems; these data are also available to all other vendors as well ÷ Publish ACs, other publications, and necessary standards ÷ Sponsor studies to develop applications/benefits & NAS changes ÷ Evaluate implementation of GA Automet (TAMDAR / E-PIREPs) > Includes evaluation/validation of operations concepts and procedures for national deployment of downlink and possible crosslink of aircraft derived weather data from commuter, and low-altitude general aviation operations

Key Provisions: Provider Commitments

÷ System infrastructure and service at no cost to FAA o > Full national coverage (CONUS + Hawaii; Alaska Optional) bo - Access from at least 5000' to 17,500'; sfc to 45,000' desired ,-).

Products designed for aviation use and based on approved data sou rces > Conform to guidelines (ICAO, RTCA, SAE G10) for cockpit display > Basic products at no fee (METAR/SPECl, TAF/AMEND TAF, SlGMET, Conv SlGMET, AIRMET, PIREPs, Alert Wx Watches) > Valued-added products for fee ÷ Education/training materials for pilot users and FAA ÷ Archive all broadcast transmissions for at least 15 days ÷ Quality assurance that addresses system risks and user concerns :Z ;> 0'3 ;>

Implementation Status

o o bo

÷ Product review/approval procedures for value-added

FISDL products established

> ARW-200 (Weather Standards) Team Lead > Initial products (ARNAV and Honeywell) have been reviewed and accepted L*h ÷ AIM Revision including FISDL overview in Section 7 published ÷ Advisory Circulars drafted by Flight Standards and Aircraft Certification ,-).

FIS-B MASPS published by RTCA/SC-195 > DO-267, March 27, 2001 > Provides communications protocols and presentation guidelines for FIS digital broadcast and cockpit display :Z ;> 0'3 ;>

Implementation Status (Cont'd)

o o

bo ÷ ARNAV achieved operational status with GMSK data

radio technology (July 2000)

TSO and STC have been issued

÷ Honeywell developing VDL Mode 2 data radio

technology.

> IOC of ground system scheduled for June 2001 > Radio certification by 4 th Quarter 2001 Z > >

FISDL Examples- ARNAV

o o Fo Regional NEXRAD Z > >

FISDL Examples- ARNAV

o o bo 200 Nautical Mile NEXRAD Z > >

FISDL Examples - ARNAV

o o bo Full Text METAR Report Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z o o b_ Z

FIS Implementation

o o

• Implementation

• Operation

• Future Technologies

Z > >

L

o o iiiii°::_iii_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_iiiiii!i ................. iiiii_!ii_Diiii!!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_!_iiiiii_ iiiiiiiiii____!_!!!!!!!!!!!_!_!_____!_!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!_!_!_______!_!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!_!_!__iiiiiii iiiii _ii_!_ii_tiiiiiiii iiiiiiiii!iii ;> Z "Turkey" Integration (Began in November 2000) o o - 1st End-to-End Integration Testing using Single Cell - Hub and Groundstation prototype testing.

- Terrestrial network prototype testing.

- Broadcast network RF performance testing.

- Flight Testing to baseline RF performance - RF Propagation Analysis "Frosty" "Frosty" Integration 4_ - Phase 1 (Complete Terrestrial Supercell) • Validate RF performance / Assess interaction between cells.

• Test initial product package.

• Validate terrestrial Wide Area Network (WAN) design and operation.

• Achieve reliable 7x24 network operation.

• Blue label VDR / Display tests.

• Test ground station deployment process.

:2 • Perform Flight Testing Phase 2 (Business Systems / Network Management) • Integrate andtest WOC.

• Subscription / Provisioning process integration and test.

• Customer interface.

• Integration of Billing systems.

• Completion with IOC • Perform Flight Testing

Z

Coverage at 5000 ft AGL

o (Smooth Earth propagation model o Z > > o o fl: 136.45 MHz fit1 fit2 fit3 fit4 Fo @ @ @ @ f2:136.475 MHz f2tl f2t2 f2t3 f2t4 ® © Q Z o o b_ Z

Subscription Control

o o t,o

• Broadcast only system

- No Handshaking

-Free products vs Premium products

- Subscription by year / month

- Encryption solution

Z > >

Operation Challenges

o o bo

• Management of Ground Station Network

- Network siting stability

- Maintenance

vo

• Monitoring

• Automation of monitoring

• Logistics

Z

Future Technologies

o o

• Higher level of integration

• Portable Market

o

• 2 Way FIS

:Z ;> 0'3 ;>

÷

o o bo

National Business Aviation Association

(NBAA)

Tenny Lindholm The National Center for Atmospheric Research for Bob Lamond NBAA National Center for Afrnospheric R es earch

:Z

;>

O'3 ;> What NBAA Wants ...

÷

o o bo . Shared situational awareness between the ground and flight deck Graphics (3-D if appropriate) Other FIS-B products (including current textual weather information) 3-4 year capability (not 2010) bo National Center for Afrnospheric R es earch

:Z

;>

O'3 ;>

NBAA Operational Environment

÷

o o bo Service to many diverse major and smaller terminals Generally high-end equipment; however, there is a wide spectrum from helicopter to large bizjets - SATCOM - VHF digital radios - ACARS L,o - FIS-B--yes - Display options Critical need to complete the mission Short-notice operations National Center for Afrnospheric R es earch

:Z

;>

O'3 ;>

Bottom Line for NBAA

L

÷

o o bo . Access to data and information ASAP. That is, - NBAA has perhaps the best equipage in the industry; however, inflight operators cannot access weather information because the infrastructure is not in place - An incremental buildup of capability is okay, recognizing the infrastructure takes time ¢ A spectrum of capabilities 4_ Graphics - Mirror what is available on the ground for the flight deck Comprehensive national (and international) coverage ¢ Don't get to() consumed with cutting edge development, unless there is a clear benefit - Technology has been demonstrated - Further focus on R&D vs. implementation will slow the introduction of needed capability National Center for Afrnospheric R es earch iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii

L_

Form Approved REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE OMB No. 0704-0188 Public reporting burden for this collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instructions, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and review#is the collection of information. Send corrlments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington Headquarters Services. Dhectorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington, VA 22202-4302, and to the Office of Management and Budget Paperwork Reduction Project (0704-.0188), Washington, DC 20503.

1. AGENCY USE ONLY (Leave blank) 2. REPORT DATE 3, REPORT TYPE AND DATES COVERED January 2003 Conference Publication 4, TITLE AND SUBTITLE 5. FUNDING NUMBERS Proceedings of the Second NASA Aviation Safety Program Weather Accident Prevention Review WU-728-40-30-00 & AUTHOR(S) K Gas Martzaklis, compiler 8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION 7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(KS) REPORT NUMBER National Aeronautics and Space Administration John H. Glenn Research Center at Lewis Field E.---12817 Cleveland, Ohio 44135 - 3191 9. SPONSORING/MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(KS) 10. SPONSORING/MONITORING AGENCY REPORT NUMBER National Aeronautics and Space Administration Washington, DC 20546- 0001 NASA CP-------2003-210964 11. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES Proceedings of a conference held at the Hilton South sponsored by NASA Glenn Research Center, Independence, Ohio, June 5---7, 2001. Responsible person, K. Gus Martzaklis, organization code 2500, 216---433---8966.

12a. DISTRiBUTION/AVAILABILITY STATEMENT 12b. DISTRNBUTION CODE Unclassified- Unlimited Subject Category: 03 Distribution: Nonstandard Available electronically at http://_ltrs.grc.n_a.gov _l-his publication is ava_ilable from the NASA Center for AeroSpace In*brmadon, 301-621-0390.

13. ABSTRACT (Maximum 200 words) The Second NASA Aviation Safety Program (AvSP) Weather Accident Prevention (WxAP) Annual Project Review held June 5-7, 2001, in Cleveland, Ohio, presented the NASA technical plans and accomplishments to the aviation community.

NASA-developed technologies presented included an Aviation Weather Information System with associated digital communications links, electronic atmospheric reporting technologies, forward-looking turbulence warning systems, and turbulence mitigation procedures. The meeting provided feedback and insight from the avialion coirununity of diverse backgrounds and assisled NASA in steering its plans in the direction needed lo meel the national safety goal of 80-percent reduction of aircraft accidents by 2007. The proceedings of the review are enclosed.

14. SUBJECT TERMS 15. NUMBER OF PAGES Aircraft safety; Cockpit weather information systems; Airborne radar; Atmospheric 16. PRICE CODE turbulence; Information dissemination; Co_mnunications technology 17. SECURITY CLASSIFICATION 18, SECURITY CLASSiFiCATiON 19. SECURITY CLASSiFiCATION 20. LiMiTATiON OF ABSTRACT OF REPORT OF THIS PAGE OF ABSTRACT Unclassified Unclassified Uncl assifi ed NSN 7540-01-280-5500 Standard Form 298 (Rev. 2-89) Prescribed by ANSI Std. Z39-18 298-102

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NASA/CP-2003-210964
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2003
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819
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